Correlation Between Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cullman Bancorp with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp

-0.32
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cullman and First is -0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Cullman Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cullman Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Cullman Bancorp i.e., Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cullman Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Cullman Bancorp is 2.28 times less risky than First Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,354  in First Bancorp on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  501.00  from holding First Bancorp or generate 21.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy66.47%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cullman Bancorp  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cullman Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cullman Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent essential indicators, Cullman Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cullman Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Cullman Bancorp and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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