First Bancorp Stock Performance
| FNLC Stock | USD 29.05 -0.05 -0.17% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
Weak | Strong |
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of First Bancorp is weaker than 7% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The main point is that return merits judgment together with the volatility required to produce it. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2026. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -0.17 | Five Day Return 1.18 | Year To Date Return 9.87 | Ten Year Return 45.18 | All Time Return 263.13 |
Forward Dividend Yield 5.1% | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.48 | Dividend Date 2026-04-17 |
1 | Acquisition by Gregory Robert B of 750 shares of First Bancorp subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
2 | What drives First Bancorps stock price - Buy Signal Daily Momentum Trading Reports - mfd.ru | 02/20/2026 |
3 | Disposition of 1865 shares by Plummer Tammy L of First Bancorp at 27.1 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/23/2026 |
4 | First Bancorp Given Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Analysts - Market Beat | 03/03/2026 |
5 | First Bancorp Raised to Hold at Zacks Research - Market Beat | 03/11/2026 |
6 | First Bancorp. to Announce 1 Q 2026 Results on April 22, 2026 - Business Wire | 03/16/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Smith Stuart G of 750 shares of First Bancorp subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/17/2026 |
8 | FIRST BANCORP NC CEO and President 2025 Pay Revealed - Quiver Quantitative | 03/19/2026 |
9 | Critical Contrast 1 st Colonial Bancorp and First Bancorp, Inc | 03/25/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 640 shares by Richard Elder of First Bancorp at 26. subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/02/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 743 shares by Gregory Robert B of First Bancorp subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/15/2026 |
| First Bancorp dividend paid on 17th of April 2026 | 04/17/2026 |
12 | First Bancorp reports 237 positions totaling 201.2 M in Form 13 F - Stock Titan | 04/20/2026 |
13 | First Bancorp Net Margin Strengthens To 37 percent Challenging Longer Term Earnings Concerns | 04/24/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Trends links to statement history, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 2,667 in First Bancorp on January 27, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 238.00 from holding First Bancorp or generated 8.92% return on investment over 90 days. First Bancorp is currently generating a 0.1483% daily expected return and carries 1.5959% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, First exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 86% of comparable stocks, and FNLC has trailed 98% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like First Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where First Stock price is likely to settle over time.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 29.05 | 90 days | 29.05 | about 13.2 |
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of First Bancorp moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 13.2 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This First Bancorp distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in First Stock over a 90-day period).
First Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Bancorp
Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast First Bancorp within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by First Bancorp predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in First Bancorp price data. For First Bancorp, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.Statistical evidence for mean reversion in First Bancorp's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, First Bancorp's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in First Bancorp's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for First Bancorp shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Primary Risk Indicators
Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for First Bancorp investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of First Bancorp. Watching for changes in First Bancorp's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of First Bancorp risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Tracking First Bancorp through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing First Bancorp notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of First Bancorp through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of First Bancorp cannot match.| First Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 17th of April 2026 First Bancorp paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bret Taylors Sierra buys YC-backed AI startup Fragment |
Price Density Drivers
Several forces contribute to First Bancorp's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring First Bancorp's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for First Bancorp reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside First Bancorp's fundamental data.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 292.3 M |
First Bancorp Fundamentals Growth
Market participants price First Stock based on their assessment of First Bancorp's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving First Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping First Stock. Long-term performance of First Stock depends on First Bancorp's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0114 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.38 | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.47 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 469.54 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 11.27 M | ||||
| Price To Earnings | 8.81 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.14 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.41 X | ||||
| Revenue | 177.61 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 95.98 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 41.94 M | ||||
| Net Income | 34.39 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 99.19 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 8.98 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 187.82 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.34 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.23 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 37.81 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.24 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 327.42 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.17 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 240.46 M | ||||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Return quality for First Bancorp evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Historical patterns suggest somewhat reduced sensitivity to broader economic swings. First Bancorp shows ROE of 13.29%, ROA of 1.28%.
First Bancorp data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board