First Bancorp Stock Performance

FNLC Stock  USD 29.05  -0.05  -0.17%   
First Bancorp's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.15%, with a 5.12% dividend yield adding to total return.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of First Bancorp is weaker than 7% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The main point is that return merits judgment together with the volatility required to produce it. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2026. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-0.17
 Five Day Return
1.18
 Year To Date Return
9.87
 Ten Year Return
45.18
 All Time Return
263.13
 Forward Dividend Yield
5.1%
 Payout Ratio
48.2%
 Last Split Factor
3:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.48
 Dividend Date
2026-04-17

Performance Related Modules

Trends links to statement history, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,667 in First Bancorp on January 27, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 238.00 from holding First Bancorp or generated 8.92% return on investment over 90 days. First Bancorp is currently generating a 0.1483% daily expected return and carries 1.5959% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, First exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 86% of comparable stocks, and FNLC has trailed 98% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, FNLC generates 1.69 times more return on investment than the market. However, FNLC is 1.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.09% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like First Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where First Stock price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
29.05 90 days 29.05
about 13.2
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of First Bancorp moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 13.2 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This First Bancorp distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in First Stock over a 90-day period).
Given a 90-day horizon, First Bancorp has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Bancorp's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Bancorp tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0984, implying that it can generate a 0.0984 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Bancorp

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast First Bancorp within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by First Bancorp predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in First Bancorp price data. For First Bancorp, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in First Bancorp's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, First Bancorp's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in First Bancorp's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for First Bancorp shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
27.4829.0830.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
25.4027.0031.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.0228.6130.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1628.6130.07
Details
First Bancorp is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where First Bancorp leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. First Bancorp's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for First Bancorp investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of First Bancorp. Watching for changes in First Bancorp's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of First Bancorp risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking First Bancorp through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing First Bancorp notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of First Bancorp through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of First Bancorp cannot match.
First Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 17th of April 2026 First Bancorp paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bret Taylors Sierra buys YC-backed AI startup Fragment

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to First Bancorp's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring First Bancorp's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for First Bancorp reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside First Bancorp's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments292.3 M

First Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price First Stock based on their assessment of First Bancorp's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving First Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping First Stock. Long-term performance of First Stock depends on First Bancorp's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for First Bancorp evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Historical patterns suggest somewhat reduced sensitivity to broader economic swings. First Bancorp shows ROE of 13.29%, ROA of 1.28%.

First Bancorp data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board