Correlation Between ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ESSA Bancorp with a short position of National Bankshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares.

Diversification Opportunities for ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ESSA and National is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ESSA Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with National Bankshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bankshares has no effect on the direction of ESSA Bancorp i.e., ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ESSA Bancorp is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than National Bankshares. However, ESSA Bancorp is 1.08 times more volatile than National Bankshares. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bankshares is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,902  in ESSA Bancorp on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  149.00  from holding ESSA Bancorp or generate 7.83% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ESSA Bancorp  vs.  National Bankshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
National Bankshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bankshares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady basic indicators, National Bankshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ESSA Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, National Bankshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bankshares will offset losses from the drop in National Bankshares' long position.
The idea behind ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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