ESSA Bancorp Performance
| ESSADelisted Stock | USD 640.00 5.00 0.79% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 95.0, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ESSA Bancorp will likely underperform. ESSA Bancorp currently shows a risk of 0.0%. Please confirm ESSA Bancorp maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to decide if ESSA Bancorp will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days ESSA Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 85.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 77 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 13.2 M |
ESSA |
ESSA Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 64,000 in ESSA Bancorp on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ESSA Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. ESSA Bancorp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of stocks are less volatile than ESSA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ESSA Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ESSA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 640.00 | 90 days | 640.00 | about 29.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ESSA Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.88 (This ESSA Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of ESSA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ESSA Bancorp will likely underperform. In addition to that ESSA Bancorp has an alpha of 172.366, implying that it can generate a 172.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ESSA Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ESSA Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ESSA Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESSA Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ESSA Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ESSA Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ESSA Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ESSA Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ESSA Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 172.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 184.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
ESSA Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ESSA Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ESSA Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ESSA Bancorp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ESSA Bancorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ESSA Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ESSA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ESSA Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ESSA Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 264.4 M |
ESSA Bancorp Fundamentals Growth
ESSA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ESSA Bancorp, and ESSA Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ESSA Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0643 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0068 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 367.29 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.15 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 13.54 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.89 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.15 X | |||
| Revenue | 111.66 M | |||
| EBITDA | 23.07 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 101.61 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 10.38 X | |||
| Total Debt | 290 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 9.05 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 24.80 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.43 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.55 X | |||
| Total Asset | 2.19 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 163.47 M | |||
About ESSA Bancorp Performance
By analyzing ESSA Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ESSA Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ESSA Bancorp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ESSA Bancorp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
ESSA Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for ESSA Bank Trust that provides a range of financial services to individuals, families, and businesses in Pennsylvania. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Stroudsburg, Pennsylvania. Essa Bancorp operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 234 people.Things to note about ESSA Bancorp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ESSA Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ESSA Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ESSA Bancorp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ESSA Bancorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing ESSA Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ESSA Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ESSA Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ESSA Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ESSA Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ESSA Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ESSA Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Other Consideration for investing in ESSA Stock
If you are still planning to invest in ESSA Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ESSA Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |