Correlation Between First Business and Old Point

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Business and Old Point at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Business and Old Point into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Business Financial and Old Point Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Business and Old Point and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Business with a short position of Old Point. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Business and Old Point.

Diversification Opportunities for First Business and Old Point

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Old is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Business Financial and Old Point Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Point Financial and First Business is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Business Financial are associated (or correlated) with Old Point. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Point Financial has no effect on the direction of First Business i.e., First Business and Old Point go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Business and Old Point

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Business Financial is expected to generate 0.83 times more return on investment than Old Point. However, First Business Financial is 1.2 times less risky than Old Point. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Point Financial is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,546  in First Business Financial on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,502  from holding First Business Financial or generate 42.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.19%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Business Financial  vs.  Old Point Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Business Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Business Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, First Business showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Old Point Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Point Financial are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Old Point reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Business and Old Point Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Business and Old Point

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Business and Old Point positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Business position performs unexpectedly, Old Point can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Point will offset losses from the drop in Old Point's long position.
The idea behind First Business Financial and Old Point Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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