Correlation Between First Mid and Chemung Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Mid and Chemung Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Mid and Chemung Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Mid Illinois and Chemung Financial Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Mid and Chemung Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Mid with a short position of Chemung Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Mid and Chemung Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for First Mid and Chemung Financial

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Chemung is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Mid Illinois and Chemung Financial Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Chemung Financial Corp and First Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Mid Illinois are associated (or correlated) with Chemung Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Chemung Financial Corp has no effect on the direction of First Mid i.e., First Mid and Chemung Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Mid and Chemung Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Mid is expected to generate 1.84 times less return on investment than Chemung Financial. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Mid Illinois is 2.14 times less risky than Chemung Financial. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Chemung Financial Corp is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,881  in Chemung Financial Corp on November 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  260.00  from holding Chemung Financial Corp or generate 5.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Mid Illinois  vs.  Chemung Financial Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chemung Financial Corp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady primary indicators, Chemung Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

First Mid and Chemung Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Mid and Chemung Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Mid and Chemung Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Mid position performs unexpectedly, Chemung Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chemung Financial will offset losses from the drop in Chemung Financial's long position.
The idea behind First Mid Illinois and Chemung Financial Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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