Correlation Between First Mid and First Business

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Mid and First Business at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Mid and First Business into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Mid Illinois and First Business Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Mid and First Business and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Mid with a short position of First Business. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Mid and First Business.

Diversification Opportunities for First Mid and First Business

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Mid Illinois and First Business Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Business Financial and First Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Mid Illinois are associated (or correlated) with First Business. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Business Financial has no effect on the direction of First Mid i.e., First Mid and First Business go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Mid and First Business

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Mid is expected to generate 1.79 times less return on investment than First Business. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Mid Illinois is 1.19 times less risky than First Business. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Business Financial is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,259  in First Business Financial on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,907  from holding First Business Financial or generate 58.51% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Mid Illinois  vs.  First Business Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
First Business Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Business Financial are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, First Business showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Mid and First Business Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Mid and First Business

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Mid and First Business positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Mid position performs unexpectedly, First Business can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Business will offset losses from the drop in First Business' long position.
The idea behind First Mid Illinois and First Business Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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