Correlation Between First Merchants and Absa Group

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Merchants and Absa Group at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Merchants and Absa Group into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Merchants and Absa Group Limited, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Merchants and Absa Group and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Merchants with a short position of Absa Group. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Merchants and Absa Group.

Diversification Opportunities for First Merchants and Absa Group

0.59
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Absa is 0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Merchants and Absa Group Limited in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Absa Group Limited and First Merchants is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Merchants are associated (or correlated) with Absa Group. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Absa Group Limited has no effect on the direction of First Merchants i.e., First Merchants and Absa Group go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Merchants and Absa Group

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Merchants is expected to generate 7.63 times less return on investment than Absa Group. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Merchants is 5.78 times less risky than Absa Group. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Absa Group Limited is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  383.00  in Absa Group Limited on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  428.00  from holding Absa Group Limited or generate 111.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Merchants  vs.  Absa Group Limited

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Absa Group Limited 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Absa Group Limited are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Absa Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

First Merchants and Absa Group Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Merchants and Absa Group

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Merchants and Absa Group positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Merchants position performs unexpectedly, Absa Group can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Absa Group will offset losses from the drop in Absa Group's long position.
The idea behind First Merchants and Absa Group Limited pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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