Correlation Between HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HV Bancorp with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp

0.41
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between HVBC and ESSA is 0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and HV Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HV Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of HV Bancorp i.e., HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HV Bancorp is expected to generate 0.62 times more return on investment than ESSA Bancorp. However, HV Bancorp is 1.6 times less risky than ESSA Bancorp. It trades about 0.42 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,299  in HV Bancorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  161.00  from holding HV Bancorp or generate 4.88% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy2.14%
ValuesDaily Returns

HV Bancorp  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HV Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days HV Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, HV Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HV Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind HV Bancorp and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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