Correlation Between Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Nicolet Bankshares with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Nicolet and Old is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Nicolet Bankshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Nicolet Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Nicolet Bankshares i.e., Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nicolet Bankshares is expected to generate 1.16 times more return on investment than Old Second. However, Nicolet Bankshares is 1.16 times more volatile than Old Second Bancorp. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,854  in Nicolet Bankshares on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,327  from holding Nicolet Bankshares or generate 42.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Nicolet Bankshares  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Nicolet Bankshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nicolet Bankshares are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady forward indicators, Nicolet Bankshares exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Nicolet Bankshares position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind Nicolet Bankshares and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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