Correlation Between National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bankshares with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and ESSA is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and National Bankshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bankshares i.e., National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bankshares is expected to generate 1.66 times less return on investment than ESSA Bancorp. In addition to that, National Bankshares is 1.8 times more volatile than ESSA Bancorp. It trades about 0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about 0.32 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,914  in ESSA Bancorp on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  177.00  from holding ESSA Bancorp or generate 9.25% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bankshares  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bankshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bankshares are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, National Bankshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bankshares position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind National Bankshares and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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