Correlation Between OFG Bancorp and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both OFG Bancorp and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining OFG Bancorp and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between OFG Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on OFG Bancorp and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in OFG Bancorp with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of OFG Bancorp and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for OFG Bancorp and Old Second

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between OFG and Old is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding OFG Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and OFG Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on OFG Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of OFG Bancorp i.e., OFG Bancorp and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between OFG Bancorp and Old Second

Considering the 90-day investment horizon OFG Bancorp is expected to generate 1.02 times more return on investment than Old Second. However, OFG Bancorp is 1.02 times more volatile than Old Second Bancorp. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,291  in OFG Bancorp on January 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,218  from holding OFG Bancorp or generate 53.16% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

OFG Bancorp  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
OFG Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OFG Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Old Second Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

OFG Bancorp and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with OFG Bancorp and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite OFG Bancorp and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if OFG Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind OFG Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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