Correlation Between Old Second and Peoples Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Second and Peoples Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Second and Peoples Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Second Bancorp and Peoples Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Second and Peoples Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Second with a short position of Peoples Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Second and Peoples Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Second and Peoples Bancorp

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Peoples is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Second Bancorp and Peoples Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Peoples Bancorp and Old Second is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Second Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Peoples Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Peoples Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Old Second i.e., Old Second and Peoples Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Second and Peoples Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Second Bancorp is expected to generate 0.93 times more return on investment than Peoples Bancorp. However, Old Second Bancorp is 1.08 times less risky than Peoples Bancorp. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Peoples Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,500  in Old Second Bancorp on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  369.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 24.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Second Bancorp  vs.  Peoples Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Peoples Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Peoples Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak fundamental drivers, Peoples Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Old Second and Peoples Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Second and Peoples Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Second and Peoples Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Second position performs unexpectedly, Peoples Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Peoples Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Peoples Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Old Second Bancorp and Peoples Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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