Correlation Between Oak Valley and 1st Source

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oak Valley and 1st Source at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oak Valley and 1st Source into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oak Valley Bancorp and 1st Source, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oak Valley and 1st Source and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oak Valley with a short position of 1st Source. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oak Valley and 1st Source.

Diversification Opportunities for Oak Valley and 1st Source

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oak and 1st is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oak Valley Bancorp and 1st Source in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 1st Source and Oak Valley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oak Valley Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with 1st Source. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 1st Source has no effect on the direction of Oak Valley i.e., Oak Valley and 1st Source go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oak Valley and 1st Source

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oak Valley is expected to generate 1.32 times less return on investment than 1st Source. In addition to that, Oak Valley is 1.21 times more volatile than 1st Source. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. 1st Source is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,740  in 1st Source on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,889  from holding 1st Source or generate 39.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oak Valley Bancorp  vs.  1st Source

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oak Valley Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting essential indicators, Oak Valley showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
1st Source 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 1st Source are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental indicators, 1st Source may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Oak Valley and 1st Source Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oak Valley and 1st Source

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oak Valley and 1st Source positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oak Valley position performs unexpectedly, 1st Source can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 1st Source will offset losses from the drop in 1st Source's long position.
The idea behind Oak Valley Bancorp and 1st Source pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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