Correlation Between Provident Financial and First Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Provident Financial and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Provident Financial and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Provident Financial Services and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Provident Financial and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Provident Financial with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Provident Financial and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Provident Financial and First Mid

0.79
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Provident and First is 0.79. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Provident Financial Services and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and Provident Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Provident Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of Provident Financial i.e., Provident Financial and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Provident Financial and First Mid

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Provident Financial Services is expected to generate 0.98 times more return on investment than First Mid. However, Provident Financial Services is 1.02 times less risky than First Mid. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Mid Illinois is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,886  in Provident Financial Services on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  199.00  from holding Provident Financial Services or generate 10.55% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Provident Financial Services  vs.  First Mid Illinois

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Provident Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Financial Services are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively inconsistent technical and fundamental indicators, Provident Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Provident Financial and First Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Provident Financial and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Provident Financial and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Provident Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.
The idea behind Provident Financial Services and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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