Provident Financial Services Stock Performance

PFS Stock  USD 20.59  0.72  3.38%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Provident Financial holds a performance score of 9. The company holds a Beta of 0.5, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Provident Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Provident Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Provident Financial's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Provident Financial's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Financial Services are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, Provident Financial unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Five Day Return
(2.79)
Year To Date Return
4.25
Ten Year Return
12.27
All Time Return
32.84
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0466
Payout Ratio
0.4571
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2025-11-18
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-14
1
Provident Financial Services Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of 0.24
11/03/2025
 
Provident Financial dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
2
Provident Financial Shares Pass Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat
12/18/2025
3
3 Reasons PFS is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead - Yahoo Finance
12/24/2025
4
Provident Financial Upgraded at Zacks Research - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
5
Provident Bank Annual Economic Outlook Survey Business Owners Shift from Passive Optimism in 2025 to Active Investment in 2026
01/06/2026
6
Dividend Stocks To Consider In January 2026
01/08/2026
7
Provident Bank CFO Lyons to Retire After Long, Successful Career
01/13/2026
8
Analysts Set Provident Financial Services, Inc Target Price at 22.70
01/15/2026
9
Provident Financial Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow180.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities507.7 M

Provident Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,832  in Provident Financial Services on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  227.00  from holding Provident Financial Services or generate 12.39% return on investment over 90 days. Provident Financial Services is generating 0.2052% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6656% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Provident, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Provident Financial is expected to generate 2.23 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Provident Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Provident Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.59 90 days 20.59 
about 14.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Provident Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.72 (This Provident Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Provident Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Provident Financial has a beta of 0.5 indicating as returns on the market go up, Provident Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Provident Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Provident Financial Services has an alpha of 0.1402, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Provident Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Provident Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Provident Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9520.6222.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5322.3023.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0521.7123.38
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.0423.1225.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Provident Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Provident Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Provident Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Provident Financial.

Provident Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Provident Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Provident Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Provident Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Provident Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Provident Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Provident Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Provident Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Provident Financial Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat

Provident Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Provident Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Provident Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Provident Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.7 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Provident Financial Fundamentals Growth

Provident Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Provident Financial, and Provident Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Provident Stock performance.

About Provident Financial Performance

Assessing Provident Financial's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Provident Financial's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Provident Financial is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.05 

Things to note about Provident Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Provident Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Provident Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Provident Financial Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat
Evaluating Provident Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Provident Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Provident Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Provident Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Provident Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Provident Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Provident Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Provident Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Provident Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Provident Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Provident Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.