Amerisafe Stock Performance
| AMSF Stock | USD 36.69 0.59 1.58% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AMERISAFE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMERISAFE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AMERISAFE has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to confirm AMERISAFE's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if AMERISAFE performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days AMERISAFE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.38 | Five Day Return (1.48) | Year To Date Return (0.80) | Ten Year Return (23.13) | All Time Return 314.22 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.042 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.56 | Dividend Date 2025-12-12 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-12-05 |
1 | AMERISAFE announces resignation of CFO | 11/03/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 1235 shares by Anastasios Omiridis of AMERISAFE at 40.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/07/2025 |
3 | What is the fair value estimate for AMERISAFE Inc. stock in 2025 - Earnings Summary Report Growth Oriented Trade Recommendations - newser.com | 11/18/2025 |
4 | Bank of New York Mellon Corp Cuts Stock Holdings in AMERISAFE, Inc. AMSF - MarketBeat | 11/21/2025 |
5 | Will AMERISAFE Inc. stock outperform Dow Jones index - Rate Hike Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
6 | Norges Bank Makes New Investment in AMERISAFE, Inc. AMSF - MarketBeat | 12/11/2025 |
| AMERISAFE dividend paid on 12th of December 2025 | 12/12/2025 |
7 | Volume Summary Will AMERISAFE Inc A3I stock sustain uptrend momentum - Market Growth Review Weekly Watchlist for Consistent Profits - moha.gov.vn | 12/16/2025 |
8 | Will AMERISAFE Inc. stock reach Wall Street targets - Quarterly Growth Report Capital Protection Trade Alerts - | 01/08/2026 |
9 | Earnings Recap Is AMERISAFE Inc. stock affected by interest rate hikes - Insider Selling Free Growth Oriented Trading Recommendations - moha.gov.vn | 01/13/2026 |
10 | Movement as an Input in Quant Signal Sets - Stock Traders Daily | 01/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 38.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 72.4 M |
AMERISAFE | Build AI portfolio with AMERISAFE Stock |
AMERISAFE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,933 in AMERISAFE on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (261.50) from holding AMERISAFE or give up 6.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. AMERISAFE is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.2783% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than AMERISAFE, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AMERISAFE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AMERISAFE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 36.69 | 90 days | 36.69 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMERISAFE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This AMERISAFE probability density function shows the probability of AMERISAFE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AMERISAFE has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMERISAFE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMERISAFE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AMERISAFE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AMERISAFE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMERISAFE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMERISAFE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMERISAFE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMERISAFE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMERISAFE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMERISAFE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMERISAFE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMERISAFE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
AMERISAFE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMERISAFE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMERISAFE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMERISAFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 12th of December 2025 AMERISAFE paid $ 1.39 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Movement as an Input in Quant Signal Sets - Stock Traders Daily |
AMERISAFE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMERISAFE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMERISAFE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMERISAFE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 130.6 M |
AMERISAFE Fundamentals Growth
AMERISAFE Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AMERISAFE, and AMERISAFE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMERISAFE Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0325 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 648.11 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 18.92 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 11.75 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.56 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 309.11 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 96.31 M | |||
| EBITDA | 70.15 M | |||
| Net Income | 55.44 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 90.95 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.74 X | |||
| Total Debt | 428 K | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.70 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.48 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 24.19 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.60 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 707.97 M | |||
| Total Asset | 1.16 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 84.11 M | |||
About AMERISAFE Performance
By analyzing AMERISAFE's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AMERISAFE's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AMERISAFE has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AMERISAFE has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 69.11 | 72.57 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | 0.20 |
Things to note about AMERISAFE performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMERISAFE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AMERISAFE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMERISAFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 12th of December 2025 AMERISAFE paid $ 1.39 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Movement as an Input in Quant Signal Sets - Stock Traders Daily |
- Analyzing AMERISAFE's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AMERISAFE's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AMERISAFE's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AMERISAFE's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AMERISAFE's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AMERISAFE's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AMERISAFE's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for AMERISAFE Stock analysis
When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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