AMERISAFE Valuation

AMSF Stock  USD 37.61  0.66  1.79%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. AMERISAFE shows a prevailing Real Value of $42.58 per share. The current price of the firm is $37.61. Our model approximates the value of AMERISAFE from examining the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.16 %, return on equity of 0.17, and Current Valuation of 644.51 M as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
2.5449
Enterprise Value
644.5 M
Price Sales
2.2654
Forward PE
22.3714
Trailing PE
14.2115
Undervalued
Today
37.61
Please note that AMERISAFE's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AMERISAFE is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AMERISAFE's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the AMERISAFE stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of AMERISAFE. Since AMERISAFE is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AMERISAFE Stock. However, AMERISAFE's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.61 Real  42.58 Target  47.0 Hype  37.49
The real value of AMERISAFE Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of AMERISAFE Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on AMERISAFE's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of AMERISAFE's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
42.58
Real Value
43.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AMERISAFE helps investors to forecast how AMERISAFE stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AMERISAFE more accurately as focusing exclusively on AMERISAFE's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.510.550.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1737.4938.81
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.7747.0052.17
Details

AMERISAFE Cash

64.38 Million

AMERISAFE Total Value Analysis

AMERISAFE is presently projected to have valuation of 644.51 M with market capitalization of 701.7 M, debt of 428 K, and cash on hands of 90.95 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the AMERISAFE fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
644.51 M
701.7 M
428 K
90.95 M

AMERISAFE Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AMERISAFE was presently reported as 14.48. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. AMERISAFE last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from AMERISAFE's historical financial statements, AMERISAFE is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.160.2
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities20.7 M21.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income66.1 M79.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

AMERISAFE Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AMERISAFE has an asset utilization ratio of 26.7 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.27 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AMERISAFE is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AMERISAFE Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from AMERISAFE's financial statements, AMERISAFE may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess AMERISAFE's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1995-03-31
Previous Quarter
14 M
Current Value
13.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
7.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The AMERISAFE's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 169.3 M, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.14.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.340.37
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.110.16
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.160.2
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.140.2
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.030.0431
Way Down
Very volatile
Return On Equity0.20.19
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For AMERISAFE profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AMERISAFE to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AMERISAFE utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AMERISAFE's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AMERISAFE over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AMERISAFE Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AMERISAFE is estimated to be 0.55 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.5125 to a high of 0.5875. AMERISAFE's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.6. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AMERISAFE is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AMERISAFE is projected to generate 0.55 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. AMERISAFE earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AMERISAFE EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AMERISAFE's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AMERISAFE, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AMERISAFE Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AMERISAFE's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AMERISAFE is estimated to be 0.55 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.5125 to a high of 0.5875. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AMERISAFE is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.51
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.55
0.59
Highest

AMERISAFE Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AMERISAFE's value are higher than the current market price of the AMERISAFE stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AMERISAFE is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AMERISAFE's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
388.43%
0.0
0.55
2.6

AMERISAFE Ownership Allocation

The majority of AMERISAFE outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AMERISAFE to benefit from reduced commissions. Thereupon, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AMERISAFE. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AMERISAFE as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

AMERISAFE Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 309.11 M. Net Income was 55.44 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 96.31 M.

AMERISAFE Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates AMERISAFE's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in AMERISAFE and how it compares across the competition.

About AMERISAFE Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines AMERISAFE's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AMERISAFE. We calculate exposure to AMERISAFE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AMERISAFE's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit147.3 M169.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.11 
Gross Profit Margin 0.37  0.34 
AMERISAFE's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AMERISAFE's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AMERISAFE can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AMERISAFE represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AMERISAFE, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AMERISAFE Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The AMERISAFE's current Dividend Yield is estimated to increase to 0.10, while Dividends Paid is forecasted to increase to (93.3 M). . At this time, AMERISAFE's Retained Earnings are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Retained Earnings Total Equity is estimated to increase to about 179.9 M, while Earnings Yield is projected to decrease to 0.06.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-98.3 M-93.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.09  0.10 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.39  0.90 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.32  0.31 
There are various types of dividends AMERISAFE can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AMERISAFE shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AMERISAFE directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AMERISAFE pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AMERISAFE by the value of the dividends paid out.

AMERISAFE Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as AMERISAFE does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.04
Forward Price Earnings22.3714

AMERISAFE Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of AMERISAFE and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value AMERISAFE we look at many different elements of the entity such as AMERISAFE's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AMERISAFE, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AMERISAFE's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AMERISAFE's worth.

Complementary Tools for AMERISAFE Stock analysis

When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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