Amerisafe Stock Analysis

AMSF Stock  USD 37.74  1.45  3.70%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for AMERISAFE extending back to November 18, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of AMERISAFE stands at 37.74, as last reported on the 9th of February, with the highest price reaching 39.25 and the lowest price hitting 37.58 during the day.
IPO Date
18th of November 2005
200 Day MA
42.8628
50 Day MA
38.4412
Beta
0.377
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AMERISAFE holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.001. At this time, AMERISAFE's Total Debt To Capitalization is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Debt Equity Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.0009, while Net Debt is projected to decrease to (41.6 M). AMERISAFE's financial risk is the risk to AMERISAFE stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

AMERISAFE's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. AMERISAFE's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps AMERISAFE Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect AMERISAFE's stakeholders.
For many companies, including AMERISAFE, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for AMERISAFE, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, AMERISAFE's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
2.6991
Price Sales
2.3139
Shares Float
18.6 M
Dividend Share
1.54
Wall Street Target Price
50
At this time, AMERISAFE's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. . At this time, AMERISAFE's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 3.61, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 9.41.
AMERISAFE is undervalued with Real Value of 44.13 and Target Price of 50.0. The main objective of AMERISAFE stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what AMERISAFE is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of AMERISAFE's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The AMERISAFE stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and AMERISAFE's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AMERISAFE. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.

AMERISAFE Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AMERISAFE was presently reported as 14.48. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. AMERISAFE last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers compensation insurance in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in DeRidder, Louisiana. Amerisafe operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 371 people. For more info on AMERISAFE please contact Gerry Frost at 337 463 9052 or go to https://www.amerisafe.com.

AMERISAFE Quarterly Total Revenue

81.98 Million

AMERISAFE Investment Alerts

AMERISAFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: AMERISAFE Sets New 52-Week Low Heres What Happened

AMERISAFE Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact AMERISAFE's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.290.330.0413 
2006-05-09
2006-03-310.280.320.0414 
2013-07-31
2013-06-300.50.45-0.0510 
View All Earnings Estimates

AMERISAFE Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

AMERISAFE's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates AMERISAFE's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of AMERISAFE's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect AMERISAFE's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

AMERISAFE Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Auto-owners Insurance Co2025-06-30
426.9 K
M&g Plc2025-06-30
365.2 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
343.8 K
Public Employees Retirt Assn Of Colorado2025-06-30
314.6 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
258.9 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2025-06-30
225.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
205.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
200.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2025-06-30
171.1 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
3.3 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2025-06-30
1.7 M
Note, although AMERISAFE's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AMERISAFE Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 716.71 M.

AMERISAFE Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.16 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.21 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.21.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Management Efficiency

AMERISAFE has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0325 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0325 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1695 %, meaning that it created $0.1695 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. AMERISAFE's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AMERISAFE manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, AMERISAFE's Return On Tangible Assets are most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.20, while Return On Capital Employed is projected to decrease to 0.07. At this time, AMERISAFE's Intangibles To Total Assets are most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.31, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 6.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 12.14  12.75 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 12.14  12.75 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 12.05  12.65 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.44  3.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple 12.05  12.65 
Price Fair Value 3.44  3.61 
Leadership at AMERISAFE emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Dividend Yield
0.0393
Operating Margin
0.2132
Profit Margin
0.1612
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0398
Beta
0.377

Technical Drivers

As of the 9th of February, AMERISAFE shows the Standard Deviation of 1.41, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.05. AMERISAFE technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AMERISAFE market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if AMERISAFE is priced adequately, providing market reflects its regular price of 37.74 per share. Given that AMERISAFE has information ratio of (0.12), we suggest you to validate AMERISAFE's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

AMERISAFE Price Movement Analysis

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AMERISAFE Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AMERISAFE insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AMERISAFE's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AMERISAFE insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

AMERISAFE Outstanding Bonds

AMERISAFE issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AMERISAFE uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AMERISAFE bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AMERISAFE has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

AMERISAFE Predictive Daily Indicators

AMERISAFE intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AMERISAFE stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

AMERISAFE Corporate Filings

F4
20th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
30th of October 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
29th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
24th of October 2025
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
6th of August 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

AMERISAFE Forecast Models

AMERISAFE's time-series forecasting models are one of many AMERISAFE's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AMERISAFE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

AMERISAFE Bond Ratings

AMERISAFE financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much AMERISAFE have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for AMERISAFE's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.54)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

AMERISAFE Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as AMERISAFE, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
AMERISAFE currently holds 428 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. AMERISAFE has a current ratio of 2.65, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about AMERISAFE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

AMERISAFE Total Assets Over Time

AMERISAFE Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which AMERISAFE uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

AMERISAFE Debt Ratio

    
  0.0308   
It seems as most of the AMERISAFE's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the AMERISAFE's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of AMERISAFE, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

AMERISAFE Corporate Bonds Issued

Most AMERISAFE bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AMERISAFE has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

AMERISAFE Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

365,940

At this time, AMERISAFE's Short and Long Term Debt Total is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years.

About AMERISAFE Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how AMERISAFE prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as AMERISAFE. By using and applying AMERISAFE Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying AMERISAFE entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.11 
Gross Profit Margin 0.37  0.34 

Current AMERISAFE Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AMERISAFE analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AMERISAFE analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
50.0Buy3Odds
AMERISAFE current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most AMERISAFE analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AMERISAFE stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AMERISAFE, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AMERISAFE conference calls.
AMERISAFE Analyst Advice Details

AMERISAFE Stock Analysis Indicators

AMERISAFE stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how AMERISAFE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying AMERISAFE stock analysis, traders can identify AMERISAFE position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow38.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity257.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities72.4 M
Tax Provision13.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.04
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130.6 M
Cash44 M
Net Debt-44 M
50 Day M A38.4412
Total Current Liabilities2.2 M
Other Operating Expenses240.1 M
Non Current Assets Total5.9 M
Forward Price Earnings22.3714
Non Currrent Assets Other-794.7 M
Stock Based Compensation2.9 M

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When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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