Farmer Bros Co Stock Performance

FARM Stock  USD 1.73  0.03  1.76%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.85, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Farmer Bros' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Farmer Bros is expected to be smaller as well. Farmer Bros right now shows a risk of 3.12%. Please confirm Farmer Bros value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Farmer Bros will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Farmer Bros Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Farmer Bros is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
10:1
Dividend Date
2011-02-14
Ex Dividend Date
2011-01-26
Last Split Date
2004-05-11
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Begin Period Cash FlowM
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.9 M

Farmer Bros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  176.00  in Farmer Bros Co on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding Farmer Bros Co or give up 1.7% of portfolio value over 90 days. Farmer Bros Co is currently generating 0.0218% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1233% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Farmer, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmer Bros is expected to generate 2.48 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Farmer Bros Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Farmer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.73 90 days 1.73 
nearly 4.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmer Bros to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.12 (This Farmer Bros Co probability density function shows the probability of Farmer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmer Bros has a beta of 0.85. This usually indicates Farmer Bros Co market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Farmer Bros is expected to follow. Additionally Farmer Bros Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Farmer Bros Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmer Bros

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmer Bros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.734.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.674.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.704.83
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.052.252.50
Details

Farmer Bros Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmer Bros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmer Bros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmer Bros Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmer Bros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.0075

Farmer Bros Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmer Bros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmer Bros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmer Bros may become a speculative penny stock
Farmer Bros had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 342.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.03 M.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: M.C. Layman Real Estate Services Announces Strategic Property Management Engagement with Keller Brothers and Keller Properties

Farmer Bros Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmer Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmer Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.8 M

Farmer Bros Fundamentals Growth

Farmer Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Farmer Bros, and Farmer Bros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Farmer Stock performance.

About Farmer Bros Performance

By examining Farmer Bros' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Farmer Bros' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Farmer Bros is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 108.19  133.75 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.11)(0.10)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.38)(0.36)

Things to note about Farmer Bros performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmer Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmer Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmer Bros may become a speculative penny stock
Farmer Bros had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 342.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.03 M.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: M.C. Layman Real Estate Services Announces Strategic Property Management Engagement with Keller Brothers and Keller Properties
Evaluating Farmer Bros' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Farmer Bros' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Farmer Bros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Farmer Bros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Farmer Bros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Farmer Bros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Farmer Bros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Farmer Bros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Farmer Bros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Farmer Bros' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Farmer Bros' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Farmer Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Farmer Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Farmer Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Farmer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Farmer Bros Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Farmer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. Market participants price Farmer higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Farmer Bros data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.92)
Earnings Share
(0.63)
Revenue Per Share
15.776
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.0001)
Understanding Farmer Bros requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Farmer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Farmer Bros' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Farmer Bros' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Farmer Bros' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.