First Commonwealth Financial Stock Performance
| FCF Stock | USD 18.27 0.24 1.33% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Commonwealth holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.83, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Commonwealth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Commonwealth is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Commonwealth's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Commonwealth's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Commonwealth Financial are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Commonwealth reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.33 | Five Day Return 0.38 | Year To Date Return 8.94 | Ten Year Return 118.8 | All Time Return 200 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.03 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.54 | Dividend Date 2026-02-20 |
1 | First Commonwealth Financial Will Pay A Dividend Of 0.135 | 11/04/2025 |
| First Commonwealth dividend paid on 21st of November 2025 | 11/21/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Carrie Riggle of 7473 shares of First Commonwealth subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Price T Michael of 24816 shares of First Commonwealth subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
4 | Insider Trading | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 1127 shares by Linda Metzmaier of First Commonwealth subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 146 shares by James Reske of First Commonwealth at 16.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
7 | First Commonwealth Financial to Release Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat | 01/20/2026 |
8 | A Look At First Commonwealth Financial Valuation After Steady Multi Year Shareholder Returns | 01/23/2026 |
9 | First Commonwealth Financial To Report Earnings Tomorrow Here Is What To Expect | 01/26/2026 |
10 | First Commonwealth Financial Exceeds Q4 CY2025 Expectations | 01/27/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 125 shares by James Reske of First Commonwealth at 16.815 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
12 | Is It Time To Reassess First Commonwealth Financial After Recent Share Price Moves | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 147 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -121.7 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 113.9 M |
First Commonwealth Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,567 in First Commonwealth Financial on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 260.00 from holding First Commonwealth Financial or generate 16.59% return on investment over 90 days. First Commonwealth Financial is generating 0.2666% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4568% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than First, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
First Commonwealth Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.27 | 90 days | 18.27 | roughly 2.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Commonwealth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.94 (This First Commonwealth Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
First Commonwealth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Commonwealth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Commonwealth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Commonwealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Commonwealth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Commonwealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Commonwealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Commonwealth Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Commonwealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
First Commonwealth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Commonwealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Commonwealth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess First Commonwealth Financial After Recent Share Price Moves |
First Commonwealth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Commonwealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Commonwealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
First Commonwealth Fundamentals Growth
First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Commonwealth, and First Commonwealth fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0127 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.1 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 102.84 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 13.26 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.19 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.90 X | |||
| Revenue | 729.44 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 485.53 M | |||
| EBITDA | 204.68 M | |||
| Net Income | 142.57 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 180.77 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 1.94 X | |||
| Total Debt | 409.71 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 8.13 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 15.16 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 129.46 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.50 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.9 B | |||
| Total Asset | 12.34 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 971.08 M | |||
About First Commonwealth Performance
By analyzing First Commonwealth's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Commonwealth's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Commonwealth has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Commonwealth has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.10 | 0.10 |
Things to note about First Commonwealth performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Commonwealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Commonwealth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess First Commonwealth Financial After Recent Share Price Moves |
- Analyzing First Commonwealth's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Commonwealth's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining First Commonwealth's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating First Commonwealth's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Commonwealth's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Commonwealth's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Commonwealth's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Commonwealth's price analysis, check to measure First Commonwealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commonwealth is operating at the current time. Most of First Commonwealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commonwealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commonwealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commonwealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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