Ambac Financial (Germany) Performance

FGPN Stock  EUR 11.60  0.10  0.85%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ambac Financial holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0539, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ambac Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ambac Financial is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ambac Financial's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Ambac Financial's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ambac Financial Group are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Ambac Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow35 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities776 M
  

Ambac Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,020  in Ambac Financial Group on September 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  140.00  from holding Ambac Financial Group or generate 13.73% return on investment over 90 days. Ambac Financial Group is generating 0.229% of daily returns assuming 2.4956% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 22% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Ambac Financial, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ambac Financial is expected to generate 3.1 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Ambac Financial Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ambac Financial's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Ambac Financial Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ambac Financial's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0918

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.5
  actual daily
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78% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.23
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4
96% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.09
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93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ambac Financial is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ambac Financial by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ambac Financial Fundamentals Growth

Ambac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ambac Financial, and Ambac Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ambac Stock performance.

About Ambac Financial Performance

By analyzing Ambac Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ambac Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ambac Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ambac Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees to public and private sector clients in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York. AMBAC FINL operates under Insurance - Specialty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 113 people.

Things to note about Ambac Financial Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambac Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambac Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambac Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ambac Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Ambac Financial Group has accumulated 6.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 633.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambac Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambac Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambac Financial Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambac Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 250 M. Net Loss for the year was (17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 310 M.
Ambac Financial Group has accumulated about 1000 M in cash with (131 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 79.0% of Ambac Financial shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Ambac Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ambac Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ambac Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ambac Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ambac Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ambac Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ambac Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ambac Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ambac Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ambac Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ambac Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ambac Stock analysis

When running Ambac Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ambac Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambac Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ambac Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambac Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambac Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambac Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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