First Watch Restaurant Stock Performance

First Watch Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,585  in First Watch Restaurant on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding First Watch Restaurant or generate 0.88% return on investment over 90 days. First Watch Restaurant is currently generating 0.0591% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.049% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Watch is expected to generate 4.08 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

First Watch Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.62 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Watch will likely underperform. Additionally First Watch Restaurant has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Predictive Modules for First Watch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Watch Restaurant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 12.92 15.97 19.02 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.39 19.29 22.34 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 12.02 15.07 18.12 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 20.19 22.18 24.62 Details

First Watch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Watch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Watch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Watch Restaurant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Watch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

First Watch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Watch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Watch Restaurant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Watch Price Density Drivers

First Watch Fundamentals Growth

When running First Watch's price analysis, check to measure First Watch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Watch is operating at the current time. Most of First Watch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Watch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Watch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Watch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.