First Watch Valuation

FWRG Stock  USD 17.98  0.52  2.98%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. First Watch Restaurant shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.92 per share. The current price of the firm is $17.98. Our model computes the value of First Watch Restaurant from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.8 B, shares outstanding of 60.57 M, and Profit Margin of 0.02 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting First Watch's valuation include:
Price Book
1.8249
Enterprise Value
1.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.2707
Price Sales
1.0781
Forward PE
114.9425
Undervalued
Today
17.98
Please note that First Watch's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of First Watch Restaurant is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing First Watch's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the First stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of First Watch Restaurant. Since First Watch is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Stock. However, First Watch's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.98 Real  18.92 Target  23.22 Hype  17.48 Naive  15.23
The real value of First Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of First Watch Restaurant Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on First Watch's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of First Watch's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
18.92
Real Value
22.29
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First Watch Restaurant helps investors to forecast how First stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First Watch more accurately as focusing exclusively on First Watch's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.070.090.13
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1117.4820.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.8515.2318.60
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.1323.2225.77
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for First Watch Restaurant, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

First Watch Cash

39.86 Million

First Valuation Trend

Comparing First Watch's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of First Watch Restaurant uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

First Revenue by Product

First Watch Total Value Analysis

First Watch Restaurant is currently projected to have valuation of 1.8 B with market capitalization of 1.08 B, debt of 606.97 M, and cash on hands of 53.57 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the First Watch fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.8 B
1.08 B
606.97 M
53.57 M

First Watch Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Watch Restaurant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators obtained from First Watch's historical financial statements, First Watch Restaurant is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in December.

First Watch Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. First Watch has an asset utilization ratio of 70.36 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.7 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that First Watch Restaurant is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

First Watch Ownership Allocation

The majority of First Watch Restaurant outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in First Watch Restaurant to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in First Watch. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of First Watch Restaurant as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On September 11, 2024, Representative Josh Gottheimer of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of First Watch Restaurant's common stock.

First Watch Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 891.55 M. Net Income was 25.39 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.95 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates First Watch's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in First Watch and how it compares across the competition.

About First Watch Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines First Watch's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of First Watch. We calculate exposure to First Watch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of First Watch's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit190.1 M118.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.14 

First Watch Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as First Watch does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.667
Forward Price Earnings114.9425

First Watch Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of First Watch Restaurant and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value First we look at many different elements of the entity such as First's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as First Watch, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use First Watch's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes First Watch's worth.

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When running First Watch's price analysis, check to measure First Watch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Watch is operating at the current time. Most of First Watch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Watch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Watch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Watch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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