First Watch Restaurant Stock Performance
| FWRG Stock | USD 18.24 0.49 2.76% |
First Watch has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.67, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Watch will likely underperform. First Watch Restaurant right now shows a risk of 3.37%. Please confirm First Watch Restaurant skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if First Watch Restaurant will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
3 of 100
Weak | Strong |
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Watch Restaurant are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, First Watch may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.13 | Five Day Return 10.58 | Year To Date Return (4.13) | Ten Year Return (15.00) | All Time Return (15.00) |
1 | Acquisition by Jemley Charles of 8134 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/09/2024 |
2 | Unpacking Q2 Earnings Kura Sushi In The Context Of Other Sit-Down Dining Stocks | 09/24/2024 |
3 | Acquisition by Laura Sorensen of 22551 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/21/2024 |
4 | First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Shares Gap Down to 16.2 on Oct 24 | 10/24/2024 |
5 | Acquisition by Fleisher Michael D of 8153 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/01/2024 |
6 | First Watch Misses Q3 Revenue Estimates | 11/07/2024 |
7 | First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong EBITDA Growth ... | 11/08/2024 |
8 | First Watch Restaurant Group Price Target Raised to 25.00 at Raymond James | 11/11/2024 |
9 | First Watch Restaurant Group announces share sale by holders | 11/12/2024 |
10 | Disposition of 8000000 shares by Advent International, L.p. of First Watch at 19.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/13/2024 |
11 | Acquisition by Solheim Jostein of 5194 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/15/2024 |
12 | First Watch Restaurant Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines - Seeking Alpha | 11/18/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 49.9 M |
First |
First Watch Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,720 in First Watch Restaurant on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 104.00 from holding First Watch Restaurant or generate 6.05% return on investment over 90 days. First Watch Restaurant is currently generating 0.1463% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3677% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
First Watch Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Watch's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as First Watch Restaurant, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a First Watch's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.0434
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| Cash | Small Risk | FWRG | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 3.37 actual daily | 30 70% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.15 actual daily | 2 98% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.04 actual daily | 3 97% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average First Watch is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of First Watch by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
First Watch Fundamentals Growth
First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Watch, and First Watch fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0364 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0212 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.83 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.57 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 282.50 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.88 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.11 X | ||||
| Revenue | 891.55 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 144.95 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 87.02 M | ||||
| Net Income | 25.39 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 53.57 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.91 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 606.97 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.95 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.73 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 95.34 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.33 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.1 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.27 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (72.75 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (43.88 M) | ||||
About First Watch Performance
By analyzing First Watch's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Watch's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Watch has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Watch has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.52 | 2.41 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Things to note about First Watch Restaurant performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Watch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Watch Restaurant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Watch had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| First Watch has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| First Watch Restaurant currently holds 606.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Watch Restaurant has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about First Watch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| First Watch has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of First Watch shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Watch Restaurant Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines - Seeking Alpha |
- Analyzing First Watch's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Watch's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining First Watch's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating First Watch's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Watch's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Watch's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Watch's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Watch's price analysis, check to measure First Watch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Watch is operating at the current time. Most of First Watch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Watch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Watch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Watch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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