First Watch Restaurant Stock Analysis

FWRG Stock  USD 17.98  0.52  2.98%   
First Watch Restaurant is undervalued with Real Value of 18.92 and Target Price of 23.22. The main objective of First Watch stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what First Watch Restaurant is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of First Watch's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The First Watch stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and First Watch's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

First Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Watch Restaurant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida. First Watch operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 10000 people. To learn more about First Watch Restaurant call Christopher Tomasso at 941 907 9800 or check out https://www.firstwatch.com.

First Watch Quarterly Total Revenue

251.61 Million

First Watch Restaurant Investment Alerts

First Watch had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
First Watch has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
First Watch Restaurant currently holds 606.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Watch Restaurant has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about First Watch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
First Watch has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of First Watch shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Watch restaurant group shares worth 158 million sold by Advent - Investing.com

First Watch Restaurant Upcoming and Recent Events

5th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
5th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

First Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact First Watch's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-09
2022-06-300.040.050.0125 
2024-08-06
2024-06-300.120.140.0216 
2024-05-07
2024-03-310.10.120.0220 
View All Earnings Estimates

First Watch Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

First Watch's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates First Watch's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of First Watch's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect First Watch's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

First Watch Thematic Classifications

In addition to having First Watch stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Restaurants Idea
Restaurants
Restaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries
Restaraunts Hotels Motels Idea
Restaraunts Hotels Motels
USA Equities from Restaraunts Hotels Motels industry as classified by Fama & French

First Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-06-30
M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-06-30
978.1 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
901.1 K
Paralel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
900 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-06-30
868.6 K
Loup Funds Llc2024-09-30
802.6 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
754.2 K
Advent International Lp2024-09-30
27.2 M
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc2024-09-30
2.4 M
Note, although First Watch's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.08 B.

First Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.02 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Management Efficiency

First Watch Restaurant has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0212 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0212 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0364 %, meaning that it created $0.0364 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. First Watch's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well First Watch manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The First Watch's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.03. The First Watch's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.03. At this time, First Watch's Return On Tangible Assets are most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The First Watch's current Intangibles To Total Assets is estimated to increase to 0.56, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 1.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.49  6.15 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.76  0.80 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 23.18  22.02 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.45  3.00 
Enterprise Value Multiple 23.18  22.02 
Price Fair Value 2.45  3.00 
Enterprise Value1.6 B1.3 B
The strategic initiatives led by First Watch's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.0295
Profit Margin
0.0209
Beta
0.849
Return On Assets
0.0212
Return On Equity
0.0364

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, First Watch shows the Downside Deviation of 3.11, mean deviation of 2.25, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2886.34. First Watch Restaurant technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Watch Restaurant variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if First Watch Restaurant is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.98 per share. Given that First Watch has jensen alpha of 0.0517, we urge you to verify First Watch Restaurant's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

First Watch Restaurant Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. First Watch middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for First Watch Restaurant. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

First Watch Restaurant Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific First Watch insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on First Watch's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases First Watch insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

First Watch Outstanding Bonds

First Watch issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. First Watch Restaurant uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most First bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when First Watch Restaurant has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

First Watch Predictive Daily Indicators

First Watch intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of First Watch stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

First Watch Corporate Filings

F4
15th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
13th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
5th of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
15th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
26th of August 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
22nd of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

First Watch Forecast Models

First Watch's time-series forecasting models are one of many First Watch's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary First Watch's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About First Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how First Watch prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling First shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as First Watch. By using and applying First Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying First entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.14 

Current First Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. First analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. First analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
23.22Strong Buy11Odds
First Watch Restaurant current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Watch Restaurant, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
First Analyst Advice Details

First Stock Analysis Indicators

First Watch Restaurant stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how First Watch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading First Watch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying First Watch stock analysis, traders can identify First Watch position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow49.9 M
Long Term Debt119.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity561.3 M
Tax Provision8.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.667
Property Plant And Equipment Net683.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.6 M
Cash49.6 M
Accounts Payable6.3 M
Net Debt557.3 M
50 Day M A16.3919
Total Current Liabilities115.1 M
Other Operating Expenses850.3 M
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings114.9425
Non Currrent Assets Other1.7 M
Stock Based Compensation7.6 M

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Watch's price analysis, check to measure First Watch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Watch is operating at the current time. Most of First Watch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Watch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Watch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Watch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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