First Watch Restaurant Stock Analysis

FWRG Stock  USD 16.51  0.45  2.65%   
First Watch Restaurant holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.954. First Watch's financial risk is the risk to First Watch stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

First Watch's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. First Watch's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps First Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect First Watch's stakeholders.
For most companies, including First Watch, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for First Watch Restaurant, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, First Watch's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Given that First Watch's debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which First Watch is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of First Watch to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, First Watch is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of First Watch's assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
First Watch Restaurant is fairly valued with Real Value of 16.66 and Hype Value of 16.51. The main objective of First Watch stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what First Watch Restaurant is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of First Watch's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The First Watch stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and First Watch's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

First Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Watch Restaurant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida. First Watch operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 10000 people. To learn more about First Watch Restaurant call Christopher Tomasso at 941 907 9800 or check out https://www.firstwatch.com.

First Watch Restaurant Investment Alerts

First Watch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Watch has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Watch has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
First Watch Restaurant currently holds 809.55 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Watch Restaurant has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about First Watch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of First Watch shares are owned by institutional investors

First Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.01 B.

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of January, First Watch shows the Mean Deviation of 2.36, standard deviation of 3.13, and Variance of 9.82. First Watch Restaurant technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Watch Restaurant market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if First Watch Restaurant is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 16.51 per share. Given that First Watch has information ratio of (0.05), we urge you to verify First Watch Restaurant's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

First Watch Restaurant Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. First Watch middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for First Watch Restaurant. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

First Watch Restaurant Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific First Watch insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on First Watch's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases First Watch insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Kussell William A few days ago
Disposition of 6165 shares by Kussell William A of First Watch at 17.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Tipograph Rachel K over three weeks ago
Acquisition by Tipograph Rachel K of 9302 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jay Wolszczak over three weeks ago
Acquisition by Jay Wolszczak of 139323 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kussell William A over a month ago
Disposition of 6165 shares by Kussell William A of First Watch at 17.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kussell William A over three months ago
Acquisition by Kussell William A of 5194 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Advent International, L.p. over three months ago
Disposition of 5000000 shares by Advent International, L.p. of First Watch at 17.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Solheim Jostein over six months ago
Acquisition by Solheim Jostein of 5263 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Advent International, L.p. over six months ago
Disposition of 4500000 shares by Advent International, L.p. of First Watch at 14.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Tomasso over six months ago
Disposition of 41346 shares by Christopher Tomasso of First Watch at 17.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jemley Charles over six months ago
Acquisition by Jemley Charles of 15000 shares of First Watch at 16.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Hope H Melville Iii over six months ago
Acquisition by Hope H Melville Iii of 48721 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Tomasso over six months ago
Acquisition by Christopher Tomasso of 365408 shares of First Watch subject to Rule 16b-3

First Watch Predictive Daily Indicators

First Watch intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of First Watch stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

First Watch Forecast Models

First Watch's time-series forecasting models are one of many First Watch's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary First Watch's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

First Watch Restaurant Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as First Watch, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
First Watch Restaurant currently holds 809.55 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Watch Restaurant has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about First Watch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

First Watch Assets Financed by Debt

Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the First Watch's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of First Watch, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

About First Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how First Watch prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling First shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as First Watch. By using and applying First Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying First entry and exit points for their positions.
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida. First Watch operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 10000 people.

Be your own money manager

As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding First Watch to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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