Lumentum Holdings Stock Performance
| LITE Stock | USD 562.74 20.72 3.55% |
Lumentum Holdings holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.1, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Lumentum Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lumentum Holdings is expected to follow. Use Lumentum Holdings sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Lumentum Holdings.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lumentum Holdings are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting basic indicators, Lumentum Holdings exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.55) | Five Day Return 4.21 | Year To Date Return 45.75 | Ten Year Return 2.3 K | All Time Return 3.2 K |
1 | Disposition of 579 shares by Fletcher Pamela of Lumentum Holdings at 250.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/17/2025 |
2 | Lumentum Shares Up 7.2 percent Whats Next | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Assessing Lumentum Holdings Valuation After New Ultrafast Laser And 3D Sensing Announcements | 01/28/2026 |
4 | Lumentum Holdings Inc. ABullCase Theory | 02/03/2026 |
5 | Lumentum Holdings One Off Gain Clouds Profitability Turnaround Narrative | 02/05/2026 |
6 | After Leaping 27 percent Lumentum Holdings Inc. Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar | 02/06/2026 |
7 | When Should You Buy Lumentum Holdings Inc. | 02/09/2026 |
8 | Lumentum Q3 EPS Forecast Boosted by Northland Securities | 02/10/2026 |
9 | NVIDIAs 100 Billion Bet For 2026 | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 436.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -84.1 M |
Lumentum Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 24,207 in Lumentum Holdings on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 32,067 from holding Lumentum Holdings or generate 132.47% return on investment over 90 days. Lumentum Holdings is currently generating 1.5729% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.0674% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 54% of stocks are less volatile than Lumentum, and 69% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Lumentum Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Lumentum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 562.74 | 90 days | 562.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lumentum Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lumentum Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lumentum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Lumentum Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lumentum Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lumentum Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lumentum Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lumentum Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lumentum Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lumentum Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lumentum Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lumentum Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 85.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Lumentum Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lumentum Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lumentum Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lumentum Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lumentum Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NVIDIAs 100 Billion Bet For 2026 |
Lumentum Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lumentum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lumentum Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lumentum Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 877.1 M |
Lumentum Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Lumentum Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lumentum Holdings, and Lumentum Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lumentum Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0029 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 43.83 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 71.4 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 22.92 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 48.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 19.79 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.65 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 781.4 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 106.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 25.9 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.55 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 37.43 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.61 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.03 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.38 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.86 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 126.3 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.44 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 41.66 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.22 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (861.2 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.32 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 489.3 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 163.5 M | ||||
About Lumentum Holdings Performance
By analyzing Lumentum Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lumentum Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lumentum Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lumentum Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 131.28 | 67.74 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.24) | (0.23) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.12) | (0.11) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.13) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.57) | (0.54) |
Things to note about Lumentum Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lumentum Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lumentum Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lumentum Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lumentum Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NVIDIAs 100 Billion Bet For 2026 |
- Analyzing Lumentum Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lumentum Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Lumentum Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Lumentum Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lumentum Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lumentum Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lumentum Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Lumentum Stock analysis
When running Lumentum Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Lumentum Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumentum Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Lumentum Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumentum Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumentum Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumentum Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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