Mattel Inc Stock Performance

MAT Stock  USD 17.33  0.49  2.91%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.29, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mattel will likely underperform. At this point, Mattel Inc has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to verify Mattel's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Mattel Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mattel Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.25
Five Day Return
5.25
Year To Date Return
(15.97)
Ten Year Return
(47.23)
All Time Return
694.34
Last Split Factor
5:4
Dividend Date
2017-09-15
Ex Dividend Date
2017-08-21
Last Split Date
1996-03-04
1
K-Pop Demon Hunters gets Mattel doll and toy line
01/28/2026
2
Does Spielwarenmesse Launches And Mexican Tariffs Shift the Strategic Story for Mattel
02/03/2026
3
Mattel Creations Debuts Fisher-Price Little People x Andr Saraiva, Reimagining a Childhood Favorite Through Contemporary Art
02/11/2026
4
Paramount Skydance Ups Hostile Warner Bid As Shareholder Tensions Rise
02/12/2026
5
Toys R Us Canada set to get reprieve from creditors extended
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-154.9 M

Mattel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,900  in Mattel Inc on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (216.00) from holding Mattel Inc or give up 11.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mattel Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.8517% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Mattel, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mattel is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of volatility.

Mattel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mattel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.33 90 days 17.33 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mattel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Mattel Inc probability density function shows the probability of Mattel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mattel will likely underperform. Additionally Mattel Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mattel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mattel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mattel Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0816.9320.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0318.8822.73
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.0519.8322.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.120.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mattel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mattel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mattel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mattel Inc.

Mattel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mattel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mattel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mattel Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mattel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Mattel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mattel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mattel Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mattel Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mattel Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mattel Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Toys R Us Canada set to get reprieve from creditors extended

Mattel Fundamentals Growth

Mattel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mattel, and Mattel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mattel Stock performance.

About Mattel Performance

Assessing Mattel's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Mattel's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Mattel is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 75.17  79.41 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.11 

Things to note about Mattel Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mattel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mattel Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mattel Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mattel Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mattel Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Toys R Us Canada set to get reprieve from creditors extended
Evaluating Mattel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mattel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mattel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mattel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mattel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mattel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mattel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mattel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mattel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mattel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mattel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Mattel Stock Analysis

When running Mattel's price analysis, check to measure Mattel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mattel is operating at the current time. Most of Mattel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mattel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mattel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mattel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.