Mattel Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| MAT Stock | USD 20.59 0.18 0.87% |
As of the 30th of January, Mattel secures the Mean Deviation of 1.62, downside deviation of 1.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0779. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mattel Inc, as well as the relationship between them.
Mattel Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mattel, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MattelMattel's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Mattel Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 24.0 | Strong Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Mattel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mattel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mattel Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Mattel conference calls.
Is there potential for Leisure Products market expansion? Will Mattel introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mattel. Expected growth trajectory for Mattel significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Mattel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share 1.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Mattel Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mattel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mattel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mattel's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Mattel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mattel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mattel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mattel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mattel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Mattel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mattel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mattel.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mattel on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mattel Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mattel over 90 days. Mattel is related to or competes with Life Time, Lear, CarMax, Urban Outfitters, Acushnet Holdings, Wyndham Hotels, and Taylor Morn. Mattel, Inc., a childrens entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide More
Mattel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mattel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mattel Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0682 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.56 |
Mattel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mattel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mattel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mattel historical prices to predict the future Mattel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0779 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1142 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0463 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0724 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1286 |
Mattel January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0779 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1386 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1016.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0682 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1142 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0463 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0724 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1286 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) | |||
| Skewness | 0.157 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.55) |
Mattel Inc Backtested Returns
Mattel appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mattel Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0984, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0984 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Mattel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mattel's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0779, mean deviation of 1.62, and Downside Deviation of 1.91 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mattel holds a performance score of 7. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.48, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mattel will likely underperform. Please check Mattel's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Mattel's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Mattel Inc has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mattel time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mattel Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Mattel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.41 |
Mattel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Mattel Inc Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Mattel Inc volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Mattel Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Mattel Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mattel Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Mattel Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Mattel Inc. By analyzing Mattel's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Mattel's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Mattel specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0531 | 0.0558 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.01 | 1.07 |
Mattel January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Mattel help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mattel from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Mattel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0779 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1386 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1016.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0682 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1142 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0463 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0724 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1286 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) | |||
| Skewness | 0.157 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.55) |
Mattel January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mattel stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 20.59 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 20.59 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) |
Additional Tools for Mattel Stock Analysis
When running Mattel's price analysis, check to measure Mattel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mattel is operating at the current time. Most of Mattel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mattel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mattel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mattel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.