Pultegroup Stock Performance

PHM Stock  USD 142.56  3.67  2.64%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, PulteGroup holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 1.4, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PulteGroup will likely underperform. Please check PulteGroup's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether PulteGroup's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PulteGroup are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent technical indicators, PulteGroup displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.64
Five Day Return
5.92
Year To Date Return
19.73
Ten Year Return
755.19
All Time Return
88.2 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0075
Payout Ratio
0.0827
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.04
Dividend Date
2026-04-02
 
PulteGroup dividend paid on 6th of January 2026
01/06/2026
1
Trump goes after people who oppose him. Minnesota officials are the latest
01/21/2026
2
PulteGroup Q4 Earnings Report Preview What To Look For
01/28/2026
3
Justice Department review found Trump ally Ed Martin improperly leaked grand jury material in probe of presidents foes
02/04/2026
4
PulteGroup declares 0.26 dividend
02/05/2026
5
PulteGroup Expands Del Webb Into Houston With Active Adult Test
02/06/2026
6
PulteGroup Valuation Check After Raymond James Backs Shift Toward Core Homebuilding
02/09/2026
7
Winslow Asset Management Inc. Sells 9,999 Shares of PulteGroup, Inc. PHM
02/10/2026
8
PulteGroup Debt Offering And New Director Shape Valuation And Governance Narrative
02/11/2026
9
PulteGroup, Inc. PHM Position Trimmed by LSV Asset Management
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-80.4 M

PulteGroup Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,365  in PulteGroup on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,891  from holding PulteGroup or generate 25.44% return on investment over 90 days. PulteGroup is generating 0.3952% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.1818% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than PulteGroup, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PulteGroup is expected to generate 2.83 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.83 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

PulteGroup Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PulteGroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 142.56 90 days 142.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PulteGroup to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PulteGroup probability density function shows the probability of PulteGroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PulteGroup will likely underperform. Additionally PulteGroup has an alpha of 0.1914, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PulteGroup Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PulteGroup

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PulteGroup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
141.25143.43145.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.29145.63147.81
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
128.24140.92156.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.741.831.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PulteGroup. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PulteGroup's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PulteGroup's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PulteGroup.

PulteGroup Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PulteGroup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PulteGroup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PulteGroup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PulteGroup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.40
σ
Overall volatility
6.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

PulteGroup Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PulteGroup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PulteGroup can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PulteGroup is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 6th of January 2026 PulteGroup paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: PulteGroup, Inc. PHM Position Trimmed by LSV Asset Management

PulteGroup Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PulteGroup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PulteGroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PulteGroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding199.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

PulteGroup Fundamentals Growth

PulteGroup Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PulteGroup, and PulteGroup fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PulteGroup Stock performance.

About PulteGroup Performance

By examining PulteGroup's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into PulteGroup's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that PulteGroup is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 370.33  242.22 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.20 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.17  0.18 

Things to note about PulteGroup performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PulteGroup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PulteGroup help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PulteGroup is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 6th of January 2026 PulteGroup paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: PulteGroup, Inc. PHM Position Trimmed by LSV Asset Management
Evaluating PulteGroup's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PulteGroup's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PulteGroup's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PulteGroup's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PulteGroup's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PulteGroup's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PulteGroup's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PulteGroup's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PulteGroup's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PulteGroup's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PulteGroup's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether PulteGroup is a strong investment it is important to analyze PulteGroup's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PulteGroup's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PulteGroup Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in PulteGroup. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Will Household Durables sector continue expanding? Could PulteGroup diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. Anticipated expansion of PulteGroup directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every PulteGroup data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Dividend Share
0.92
Earnings Share
11.42
Revenue Per Share
87.449
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PulteGroup's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PulteGroup should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PulteGroup's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.