Southern First Bancshares Stock Performance

SFST Stock  USD 54.94  0.28  0.51%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Southern First holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 1.23, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Southern First will likely underperform. Please check Southern First's semi variance, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to make a quick decision on whether Southern First's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Southern First Bancshares are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Southern First unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.51
Five Day Return
(5.80)
Year To Date Return
6.27
Ten Year Return
143.85
All Time Return
K
Last Split Factor
11:10
Last Split Date
2013-01-30
1
Disposition of tradable shares by Julie Fairchild of Southern First at 44.11 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/04/2025
2
Insider Trading
11/18/2025
3
Disposition of 1258 shares by Julie Fairchild of Southern First at 50.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
4
Acquisition by Julie Fairchild of 1500 shares of Southern First at 23.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
5
Fairchild, Southern First Bancshares CAO, sells 62900 in stock By Investing.com - Investing.com UK
11/25/2025
6
Acquisition by Locke Anna T of tradable shares of Southern First at 32.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
7
Disposition of 1000 shares by Ellison David G of Southern First at 53.285 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
8
Disposition of tradable shares by Orders James B Iii of Southern First subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
9
Disposition of 10000 shares by Seaver R Arthur Jr of Southern First at 35.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
10
Top Bank Executive Makes Major Move With Sudden Stock Sale - TipRanks
12/18/2025
11
Southern First Bancshares Downgraded by Zacks Research to Hold
01/08/2026
12
Southern First Q4 Earnings Snapshot
01/22/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow156.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-28.9 M

Southern First Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,411  in Southern First Bancshares on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,083  from holding Southern First Bancshares or generate 24.55% return on investment over 90 days. Southern First Bancshares is currently generating 0.3826% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.1104% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Southern, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southern First is expected to generate 2.82 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Southern First Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Southern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.94 90 days 54.94 
about 15.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern First to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.74 (This Southern First Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Southern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Southern First will likely underperform. Additionally Southern First Bancshares has an alpha of 0.3184, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Southern First Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Southern First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.8354.9457.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.4560.1362.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.3154.4256.53
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.3357.5063.83
Details

Southern First Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern First Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
3.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Southern First Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern First Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern First is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Value Investors Buy Midland States Bancorp Stock

Southern First Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments155.6 M

Southern First Fundamentals Growth

Southern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Southern First, and Southern First fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Southern Stock performance.

About Southern First Performance

Assessing Southern First's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Southern First's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Southern First is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.05 

Things to note about Southern First Bancshares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern First Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern First is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Value Investors Buy Midland States Bancorp Stock
Evaluating Southern First's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Southern First's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Southern First's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Southern First's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Southern First's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Southern First's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Southern First's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Southern First's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Southern First's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Southern First's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Southern First's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Southern Stock Analysis

When running Southern First's price analysis, check to measure Southern First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern First is operating at the current time. Most of Southern First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.