Stellar Bancorp Stock Performance

STEL Stock  USD 39.18  0.53  1.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Stellar Bancorp holds a performance score of 20. The entity has a beta of 0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Stellar Bancorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Stellar Bancorp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Stellar Bancorp's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Stellar Bancorp's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Stellar Bancorp are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Stellar Bancorp disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.33)
Five Day Return
0.2
Year To Date Return
27.37
Ten Year Return
36.47
All Time Return
36.47
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0151
Payout Ratio
0.2879
Forward Dividend Rate
0.6
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Profit Review Will Stellar Bancorp Inc stock beat value stocks - Weekly Market Outlook Accurate Trade Setup Notifications - moha.gov.vn
12/30/2025
 
Stellar Bancorp dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
2
Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call Date
01/05/2026
3
A Look At Stellar Bancorp Valuation After Raymond James Renews Positive Rating And Outlook
01/12/2026
4
Big Picture Can Stellar Bancorp Inc weather a recession - July 2025 Intraday Action Fast Moving Stock Watchlists - baoquankhu1.vn
01/22/2026
5
Shareholder Alert The Ademi Firm investigates whether Stellar Bancorp, Inc. is obtaining a Fair Price for its Public Shareholders
01/28/2026
6
Halper Sadeh LLC Encourages STEL, BKKT, FONR, CWAN Shareholders to Contact the Firm to Discuss Their Rights
01/29/2026
7
Stellar Bancorp shares rise after fourth-quarter results and merger agreement - AlphaStreet
01/30/2026
8
Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating STEL, CLBK, NFBK, VTYX on Behalf of Shareholders
02/03/2026
9
HAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Reminds hareholders of Upcoming Merger DeadlinesDVN, CLBK, STEL and SLAB
02/12/2026

Stellar Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,933  in Stellar Bancorp on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  985.00  from holding Stellar Bancorp or generate 33.58% return on investment over 90 days. Stellar Bancorp is currently generating 0.5021% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9755% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Stellar, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Stellar Bancorp is expected to generate 2.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Stellar Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Stellar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.18 90 days 39.18 
about 1.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stellar Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.14 (This Stellar Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Stellar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Stellar Bancorp has a beta of 0.74. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stellar Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stellar Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stellar Bancorp has an alpha of 0.3622, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Stellar Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stellar Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stellar Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stellar Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.3439.3241.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.7840.7642.74
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.5838.0042.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.480.500.51
Details

Stellar Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stellar Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stellar Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stellar Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stellar Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.74
σ
Overall volatility
2.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Stellar Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stellar Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stellar Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stellar Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Stellar Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Stellar Bancorp paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: HAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Reminds hareholders of Upcoming Merger DeadlinesDVN, CLBK, STEL and SLAB

Stellar Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Stellar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Stellar Bancorp, and Stellar Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Stellar Stock performance.

About Stellar Bancorp Performance

By examining Stellar Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Stellar Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Stellar Bancorp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.08 

Things to note about Stellar Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stellar Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Stellar Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stellar Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Stellar Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Stellar Bancorp paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: HAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Reminds hareholders of Upcoming Merger DeadlinesDVN, CLBK, STEL and SLAB
Evaluating Stellar Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Stellar Bancorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Stellar Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Stellar Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Stellar Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Stellar Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Stellar Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Stellar Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Stellar Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Stellar Bancorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Stellar Bancorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Stellar Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Stellar Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Stellar Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Stellar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Stellar Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued.
For more information on how to buy Stellar Stock please use our How to buy in Stellar Stock guide.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stellar Bancorp. If investors know Stellar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Stellar Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.086
Dividend Share
0.57
Earnings Share
1.99
Revenue Per Share
7.985
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Investors evaluate Stellar Bancorp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Stellar Bancorp's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Stellar Bancorp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellar Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stellar Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Stellar Bancorp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.