Trupanion Stock Performance

TRUP Stock  USD 32.17  0.76  2.42%   
The entity has a beta of 0.76, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trupanion's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trupanion is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Trupanion has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to validate Trupanion's value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Trupanion performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trupanion has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.10)
Five Day Return
(3.06)
Year To Date Return
(15.56)
Ten Year Return
290.67
All Time Return
175.53
1
Trupanion Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
11/07/2025
2
Acquisition by Powell Bradley S of 1906 shares of Trupanion subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
Trupanions Commitment to Mission Highlighted as CEO Named Woman of Influence by Puget Sound Business Journal
11/17/2025
4
Disposition of 2000 shares by Darryl Rawlings of Trupanion at 14.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
5
Disposition of 6383 shares by John Gallagher of Trupanion at 34.8242 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
6
Disposition of 8000 shares by Margaret Tooth of Trupanion at 8.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
7
Trupanion Valuation After New Pawp Partnership, CEO Share Sale, and Strong Earnings Update
12/23/2025
8
Disposition of 430 shares by John Gallagher of Trupanion at 37.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
9
Trupanion Named One of Seattles Best Places to Work for the 7th Year in a Row
01/08/2026
10
Disposition of 23213 shares by Low Murray B of Trupanion at 8.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
11
Why Trupanion Stock Is Down Today
01/14/2026
12
Heres Why You Should Retain American International Stock for Now
01/16/2026
13
Trupanion Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
01/22/2026
14
Trupanion Marks 25 Years As Market Weighs Pet Insurance Track Record
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow170.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.5 M

Trupanion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,999  in Trupanion on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (784.00) from holding Trupanion or give up 19.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trupanion is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5073% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Trupanion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trupanion is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Trupanion Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trupanion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.17 90 days 32.17 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trupanion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Trupanion probability density function shows the probability of Trupanion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trupanion has a beta of 0.76. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trupanion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trupanion will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trupanion has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trupanion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trupanion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trupanion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trupanion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0031.4833.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.2737.6540.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.2932.7735.26
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
47.0951.7557.44
Details

Trupanion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trupanion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trupanion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trupanion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trupanion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Trupanion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trupanion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trupanion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trupanion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 307.28 M.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Trupanion Marks 25 Years As Market Weighs Pet Insurance Track Record

Trupanion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trupanion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trupanion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trupanion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments307.4 M

Trupanion Fundamentals Growth

Trupanion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trupanion, and Trupanion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trupanion Stock performance.

About Trupanion Performance

Assessing Trupanion's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Trupanion's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Trupanion is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.04)

Things to note about Trupanion performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trupanion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trupanion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trupanion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 307.28 M.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Trupanion Marks 25 Years As Market Weighs Pet Insurance Track Record
Evaluating Trupanion's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trupanion's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trupanion's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trupanion's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trupanion's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trupanion's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trupanion's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trupanion's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trupanion's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trupanion's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trupanion's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Trupanion Stock Analysis

When running Trupanion's price analysis, check to measure Trupanion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trupanion is operating at the current time. Most of Trupanion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trupanion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trupanion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trupanion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.