American Eagle Outfitters Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.30 18.15 21.00 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 19.11 21.00 23.31 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.43 0.45 0.46 Details

American Eagle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

American Eagle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

American Eagle Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.35	2.83	0.06	0.01	10 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
16.03	16.09	0.37	1,572   Notes

American Eagle Hype Timeline

On the 18th of January 2025 American Eagle Outfitters is traded for 16.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on American Eagle is about 14894.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.02. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.26 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 170.04 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.13 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Eagle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Eagle Related Hype Analysis

American Eagle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of American Eagle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Eagle Outfitters, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Eagle based on analysis of American Eagle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for American Eagle depends on current market conditions and American Eagle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Eagle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Eagle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Eagle's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Eagle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Eagle Outfitters often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out American Eagle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Eagle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Eagle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of American Eagle Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Eagle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Eagle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Eagle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Eagle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.