Agilon Health Stock Price Patterns
| AGL Stock | USD 0.45 0.17 27.42% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.951 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.41) | Wall Street Target Price 0.9858 |
Using Agilon Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of agilon health from the perspective of Agilon Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agilon Health using Agilon Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agilon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agilon Health's stock price.
Agilon Health Short Interest
An investor who is long Agilon Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Agilon Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Agilon Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.4791 | Short Percent 0.0805 | Short Ratio 3.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.6 M | 50 Day MA 0.7758 |
agilon health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agilon Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agilon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agilon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around agilon health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agilon Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agilon Health.
Agilon Health Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Agilon Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of agilon health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agilon Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agilon Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agilon Health's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agilon Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agilon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agilon Health after-hype prediction price | USD 0.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Agilon Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Agilon Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agilon Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agilon Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agilon Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agilon Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agilon Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agilon Health's historical news coverage. Agilon Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.67, respectively. We have considered Agilon Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agilon Health is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of agilon health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agilon Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agilon Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilon Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agilon Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 7.23 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.45 | 0.44 | 2.22 |
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Agilon Health Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 agilon health is traded for 0.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Agilon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Agilon Health is about 16066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.46. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. agilon health has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.78. The firm last dividend was issued on the February 17, 2016. Agilon Health had 2:1 split on the December 4, 1995. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Agilon Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agilon Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agilon Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agilon Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Agilon Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agilon Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NAKA | Kindly MD | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 11.43 | (10.20) | 37.72 | |
| MCTA | Charming Medical Limited | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 2.63 | 0.00 | 24.43 | |
| DH | Definitive Healthcare Corp | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.85 | (5.53) | 30.23 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.50 | 0.17 | 4.81 | (2.53) | 11.79 | |
| DBVT | DBV Technologies | 0.69 | 9 per month | 3.93 | 0.12 | 10.53 | (6.81) | 36.36 | |
| SLP | Simulations Plus | 0.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.08 | (4.80) | 22.31 | |
| SOPH | Sophia Genetics SA | (0.35) | 7 per month | 3.25 | 0.02 | 6.21 | (6.17) | 24.71 | |
| ENGN | enGene Holdings Common | (0.65) | 5 per month | 4.15 | 0.11 | 11.36 | (7.21) | 61.40 | |
| LRMR | Larimar Therapeutics | 0.07 | 9 per month | 4.28 | 0.01 | 7.76 | (7.16) | 20.14 | |
| ANNX | Annexon | 0.43 | 7 per month | 3.32 | 0.18 | 11.30 | (6.79) | 35.10 |
Agilon Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agilon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agilon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agilon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agilon Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agilon Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as agilon health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agilon Health based on analysis of Agilon Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agilon Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agilon Health's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 0.37 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.59 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.0505 | 0.0559 | 0.0643 | 0.12 |
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Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilon Health. If investors know Agilon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Agilon Health assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.951 | Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate agilon health using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Agilon Health's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Agilon Health's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Agilon Health's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Agilon Health represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Agilon Health's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.