Agilon Health Stock Analysis

AGL Stock  USD 1.78  0.11  6.59%   
agilon health is undervalued with Real Value of 8.47 and Target Price of 28.6. The main objective of Agilon Health stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what agilon health is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Agilon Health's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Agilon Health stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in agilon health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Agilon Stock please use our How to buy in Agilon Stock guide.

Agilon Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.2. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. agilon health has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.76. The firm last dividend was issued on the February 17, 2016. Agilon Health had 2:1 split on the December 4, 1995. agilon health, inc. offers healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. agilon health, inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Austin, Texas. Agilon Health operates under Medical Care Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 646 people. For more info on agilon health please contact Steven Sell at 562 256 3800 or go to https://www.agilonhealth.com.

Agilon Health Quarterly Total Revenue

1.45 Billion

agilon health Investment Alerts

agilon health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
agilon health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
agilon health may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (262.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 112.29 M.
agilon health has about 497.07 M in cash with (156.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
agilon health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Royal Bank of Canada Reaffirms Outperform Rating for agilon health

agilon health Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Agilon Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Agilon Health's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-05
2022-03-31-0.00060.00290.0035583 
2024-08-06
2024-06-30-0.08-0.070.0112 
2023-08-03
2023-06-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
View All Earnings Estimates

Agilon Health Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Agilon Health stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Healthcare Idea
Healthcare
USA Equities from Healthcare industry as classified by Fama & French

Agilon Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
4.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
2.6 M
Iron Triangle Partners Lp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
1.8 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
112.8 M
Clayton Dubilier & Rice Llc2024-09-30
100 M
Note, although Agilon Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Agilon Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 688.07 M.

Agilon Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.07) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.09) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.09.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.16)(0.17)
Return On Capital Employed(0.30)(0.32)
Return On Assets(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Equity(0.40)(0.38)

Management Efficiency

agilon health has Return on Asset of (0.0984) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.0984. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (0.43) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Agilon Health's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Agilon Health manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.17. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.32. Net Tangible Assets is expected to rise to about 1.1 B this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 1.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.62  0.89 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.40  1.47 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(30.28)(31.80)
Price Book Value Ratio 7.75  8.14 
Enterprise Value Multiple(30.28)(31.80)
Price Fair Value 7.75  8.14 
At agilon health, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.09)
Profit Margin
(0.07)
Beta
0.602
Return On Assets
(0.1)
Return On Equity
(0.43)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Agilon Health shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), coefficient of variation of (561.25), and Standard Deviation of 7.08. agilon health technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm agilon health coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and skewness to decide if agilon health is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.78 per share. Please also double-check agilon health jensen alpha, which is currently at (1.49) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

agilon health Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Agilon Health middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for agilon health. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

agilon health Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Agilon Health insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Agilon Health's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Agilon Health insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Agilon Health Outstanding Bonds

Agilon Health issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. agilon health uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Agilon bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when agilon health has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Agilon Health Predictive Daily Indicators

Agilon Health intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Agilon Health stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Agilon Health Forecast Models

Agilon Health's time-series forecasting models are one of many Agilon Health's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Agilon Health's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Agilon Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Agilon Health prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Agilon shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Agilon Health. By using and applying Agilon Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Agilon entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.05)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.05)(0.06)
Net Loss(0.06)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 

Current Agilon Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Agilon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Agilon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
28.6Buy19Odds
agilon health current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Agilon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Agilon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of agilon health, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Agilon conference calls.
Agilon Analyst Advice Details

Agilon Stock Analysis Indicators

agilon health stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Agilon Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Agilon Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Agilon Health stock analysis, traders can identify Agilon Health position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow475.9 M
Long Term Debt32.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding408.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity661.8 M
Tax Provision1.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y11.951
Property Plant And Equipment Net41 M
Cash And Short Term Investments488.3 M
Cash107.6 M
Accounts Payable968.1 M
Net Debt-55.3 M
50 Day M A2.9764
Total Current Liabilities977.2 M
Other Operating Expenses4.5 B
Non Current Assets Total260.8 M
Forward Price Earnings178.5714
Non Currrent Assets Other87.1 M
Stock Based Compensation69.5 M
When determining whether agilon health is a strong investment it is important to analyze Agilon Health's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Agilon Health's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Agilon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in agilon health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Agilon Stock please use our How to buy in Agilon Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilon Health. If investors know Agilon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilon Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.951
Earnings Share
(0.76)
Revenue Per Share
13.717
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.276
Return On Assets
(0.1)
The market value of agilon health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilon Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilon Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilon Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilon Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilon Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilon Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilon Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.