American Axle Manufacturing Price Patterns
| AXLDelisted Stock | USD 9.00 0.61 7.27% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Axle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Axle Manufacturing from the perspective of American Axle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Axle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Axle after-hype prediction price | USD 8.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Axle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Axle After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Axle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Axle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Axle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Axle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Axle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Axle's historical news coverage. American Axle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.73 and 12.21, respectively. We have considered American Axle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Axle is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Axle Manufa is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Axle Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Axle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Axle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Axle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 3.26 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.00 | 8.97 | 0.33 |
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American Axle Hype Timeline
On the 13th of February 2026 American Axle Manufa is traded for 9.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. American is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.76%. The volatility of related hype on American Axle is about 5821.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.04. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of American Axle was presently reported as 6.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2008. American Axle Manufa had 117:1000 split on the 5th of October 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in median.American Axle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Axle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Axle's future price movements. Getting to know how American Axle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Axle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 0.49 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.10 | 3.87 | (1.93) | 7.54 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | 0.39 | 8 per month | 0.67 | 0.27 | 2.35 | (1.33) | 7.23 | |
| SES | SES AI Corp | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.90 | (10.57) | 27.52 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | (2.38) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.25 | (8.29) | 21.25 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 0.16 | 12 per month | 1.74 | 0.07 | 4.09 | (2.81) | 11.54 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | (0.36) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.95 | (3.44) | 10.64 | |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies Common | 0.03 | 8 per month | 6.51 | 0.03 | 16.00 | (9.71) | 48.05 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (0.06) | 9 per month | 2.33 | 0.07 | 5.82 | (4.58) | 13.59 | |
| XPEL | Xpel Inc | 0.74 | 10 per month | 1.44 | 0.22 | 3.97 | (2.05) | 11.58 | |
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old | 1.46 | 9 per month | 3.39 | (0.01) | 7.62 | (5.32) | 13.71 |
American Axle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Axle Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Axle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Axle Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Axle based on analysis of American Axle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Axle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Axle's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in median. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Other Consideration for investing in American Stock
If you are still planning to invest in American Axle Manufa check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Axle's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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