Axon Enterprise Stock Price Prediction
| AXON Stock | USD 631.27 21.45 3.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Axon Enterprise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axon Enterprise from the perspective of Axon Enterprise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axon Enterprise to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Axon Enterprise after-hype prediction price | USD 631.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Axon |
Axon Enterprise After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axon Enterprise at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axon Enterprise or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axon Enterprise, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axon Enterprise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axon Enterprise's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axon Enterprise's historical news coverage. Axon Enterprise's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 627.42 and 635.12, respectively. We have considered Axon Enterprise's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axon Enterprise is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axon Enterprise is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axon Enterprise Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axon Enterprise is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axon Enterprise backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axon Enterprise, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 3.85 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
631.27 | 631.27 | 0.00 |
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Axon Enterprise Hype Timeline
Axon Enterprise is presently traded for 631.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Axon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.94%. %. The volatility of related hype on Axon Enterprise is about 7700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 631.22. About 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.86. Axon Enterprise had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Axon Enterprise Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axon Enterprise's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axon Enterprise's future price movements. Getting to know how Axon Enterprise's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axon Enterprise may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVCR | Novocure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.53 | (0.03) | 8.08 | (6.48) | 23.45 | |
| HUBS | HubSpot | (0.84) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.24 | 3.69 | (2.30) | 10.59 | |
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | 0.48 | 8 per month | 3.15 | 0 | 5.16 | (4.36) | 22.00 | |
| APPN | Appian Corp | (0.98) | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.1 | 4.73 | (3.11) | 11.10 | |
| RGEN | Repligen | 1.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.60 | (4.70) | 18.94 |
Axon Enterprise Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Axon Enterprise Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Axon Enterprise stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axon Enterprise, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axon Enterprise based on analysis of Axon Enterprise hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axon Enterprise's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axon Enterprise's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Axon Enterprise
The number of cover stories for Axon Enterprise depends on current market conditions and Axon Enterprise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axon Enterprise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axon Enterprise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Axon Enterprise Short Properties
Axon Enterprise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axon Enterprise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axon Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axon Enterprise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axon Enterprise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Check out Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Axon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axon Enterprise guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axon Enterprise. If investors know Axon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axon Enterprise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axon Enterprise is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axon Enterprise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axon Enterprise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axon Enterprise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axon Enterprise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axon Enterprise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axon Enterprise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axon Enterprise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.