Commercial Bancgroup, Common Stock Price Prediction
| CBK Stock | USD 24.50 0.38 1.53% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Commercial Bancgroup, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Commercial Bancgroup, Common from the perspective of Commercial Bancgroup, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Commercial Bancgroup, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Commercial Bancgroup,'s public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Commercial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Commercial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Commercial Bancgroup, Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Commercial Bancgroup,'s market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Commercial Bancgroup,.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Commercial Bancgroup, to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Commercial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Commercial Bancgroup, after-hype prediction price | USD 24.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Commercial | Build AI portfolio with Commercial Stock |
Commercial Bancgroup, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Commercial Bancgroup, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Commercial Bancgroup, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Commercial Bancgroup,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Commercial Bancgroup, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Commercial Bancgroup,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Commercial Bancgroup,'s historical news coverage. Commercial Bancgroup,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.40 and 25.60, respectively. We have considered Commercial Bancgroup,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Commercial Bancgroup, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Commercial Bancgroup, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Commercial Bancgroup, Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Commercial Bancgroup, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Commercial Bancgroup, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Commercial Bancgroup,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.50 | 24.50 | 0.00 |
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Commercial Bancgroup, Hype Timeline
On the 27th of December Commercial Bancgroup, is traded for 24.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Commercial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Commercial Bancgroup, is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.50. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.88. Commercial Bancgroup, last dividend was issued on the 4th of October 2011. The entity had 3:2 split on the 28th of August 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Commercial Bancgroup, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Commercial Bancgroup, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Commercial Bancgroup,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Commercial Bancgroup,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Commercial Bancgroup,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Commercial Bancgroup, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OBT | Orange County Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.08 | 3.52 | (2.88) | 10.19 | |
| FMAO | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | (0.01) | 4.47 | (3.80) | 10.26 | |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0 | 3.03 | (2.90) | 8.59 | |
| USCB | US Century Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.04 | 3.49 | (2.22) | 7.02 | |
| BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | (0) | 2.53 | (2.63) | 9.10 | |
| RBB | RBB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.07 | 3.49 | (2.70) | 9.67 | |
| PBFS | Pioneer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.03 | 2.06 | (1.79) | 8.41 | |
| PCB | PCB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.03 | 2.99 | (1.88) | 10.53 | |
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.12 | 5.98 | (2.50) | 14.42 | |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 3.45 | (2.24) | 9.42 |
Commercial Bancgroup, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Commercial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commercial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Commercial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Commercial Bancgroup, Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Commercial Bancgroup, stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Commercial Bancgroup, Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commercial Bancgroup, based on analysis of Commercial Bancgroup, hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Commercial Bancgroup,'s market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Commercial Bancgroup,'s related companies. | 2010 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005115 | 0.006854 | 0.004788 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.61 | 2.19 | 2.64 |
Story Coverage note for Commercial Bancgroup,
The number of cover stories for Commercial Bancgroup, depends on current market conditions and Commercial Bancgroup,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Commercial Bancgroup, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Commercial Bancgroup,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Commercial Bancgroup, Short Properties
Commercial Bancgroup,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Commercial Bancgroup,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Commercial Bancgroup, Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Commercial Bancgroup,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commercial Bancgroup,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 234.3 M |
Check out Commercial Bancgroup, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Bancgroup,. If investors know Commercial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commercial Bancgroup, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Commercial Bancgroup, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commercial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commercial Bancgroup,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commercial Bancgroup,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commercial Bancgroup,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commercial Bancgroup,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commercial Bancgroup,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Commercial Bancgroup, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commercial Bancgroup,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.