Cognyte Software Stock Price Prediction
| CGNT Stock | USD 7.95 0.13 1.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.18) | Wall Street Target Price 8.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) |
Using Cognyte Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cognyte Software from the perspective of Cognyte Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cognyte Software to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cognyte because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cognyte Software after-hype prediction price | USD 7.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cognyte |
Cognyte Software After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cognyte Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cognyte Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cognyte Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cognyte Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cognyte Software's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cognyte Software's historical news coverage. Cognyte Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.77 and 11.19, respectively. We have considered Cognyte Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cognyte Software is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cognyte Software is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cognyte Software Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cognyte Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cognyte Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cognyte Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 3.21 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.95 | 7.98 | 0.38 |
|
Cognyte Software Hype Timeline
Cognyte Software is currently traded for 7.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Cognyte is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Cognyte Software is about 4097.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 313.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 192.75 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cognyte Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cognyte Software Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cognyte Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cognyte Software's future price movements. Getting to know how Cognyte Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cognyte Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSGS | CSG Systems International | 2.36 | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.08 | 2.65 | (1.69) | 10.94 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.70 | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.02 | 2.43 | (2.30) | 7.67 | |
| VRNS | Varonis Systems | (1.63) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.88 | (3.60) | 14.38 | |
| RDWR | Radware | (0.81) | 9 per month | 1.46 | (0.03) | 3.33 | (2.51) | 10.31 | |
| GB | Global Blue Group | 0.25 | 9 per month | 3.60 | 0.06 | 4.72 | (5.13) | 23.79 | |
| CLBTW | Cellebrite DI Equity | 0.28 | 6 per month | 3.62 | 0.15 | 9.83 | (6.33) | 25.66 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.30) | 7 per month | 2.34 | 0.05 | 6.28 | (3.62) | 20.68 | |
| CCCS | CCC Intelligent Solutions | 0.22 | 10 per month | 0.93 | 0.08 | 2.17 | (1.89) | 5.99 | |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.79 | (0.02) | 3.23 | (2.84) | 10.35 | |
| ESMT | EngageSmart LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (2.93) | 9.34 | |
| FORG | ForgeRock | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.78 | (1.49) | 6.71 | |
| LVOX | LiveVox Holdings | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.81 | (4.26) | 19.68 |
Cognyte Software Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cognyte price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cognyte using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cognyte charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cognyte Software Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cognyte Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cognyte Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cognyte Software based on analysis of Cognyte Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cognyte Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cognyte Software's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0485 | 0.0114 | 0.0103 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 0.82 | 1.58 |
Story Coverage note for Cognyte Software
The number of cover stories for Cognyte Software depends on current market conditions and Cognyte Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cognyte Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cognyte Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Cognyte Software Short Properties
Cognyte Software's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cognyte Software's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cognyte Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cognyte Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cognyte Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74.5 M |
Additional Tools for Cognyte Stock Analysis
When running Cognyte Software's price analysis, check to measure Cognyte Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cognyte Software is operating at the current time. Most of Cognyte Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cognyte Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cognyte Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cognyte Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.