CompoSecure Price Prediction
| CMPODelisted Stock | USD 25.15 0.53 2.06% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CompoSecure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CompoSecure from the perspective of CompoSecure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CompoSecure to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CompoSecure because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CompoSecure after-hype prediction price | USD 25.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CompoSecure |
CompoSecure After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CompoSecure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CompoSecure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CompoSecure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CompoSecure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CompoSecure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CompoSecure's historical news coverage. CompoSecure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.97 and 28.33, respectively. We have considered CompoSecure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CompoSecure is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CompoSecure is based on 3 months time horizon.
CompoSecure Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CompoSecure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CompoSecure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CompoSecure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.18 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.15 | 25.15 | 0.00 |
|
CompoSecure Hype Timeline
CompoSecure is currently traded for 25.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. CompoSecure is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on CompoSecure is about 10258.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.16. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.34. CompoSecure last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. The entity had 1204:1000 split on the 28th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out CompoSecure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CompoSecure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CompoSecure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CompoSecure's future price movements. Getting to know how CompoSecure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CompoSecure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FA | First Advantage Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | (0.02) | 4.13 | (4.52) | 13.15 | |
| PCT | Purecycle Technologies Holdings | 1.26 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.68 | (7.32) | 24.11 | |
| UPWK | Upwork Inc | 0.03 | 9 per month | 2.70 | 0.11 | 7.31 | (5.07) | 20.70 | |
| SBLK | Star Bulk Carriers | 0.48 | 11 per month | 1.78 | 0.15 | 3.15 | (2.54) | 9.64 | |
| AMRC | Ameresco | (0.54) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.15 | (5.97) | 16.41 | |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 3.57 | (2.78) | 8.94 | |
| LUNR | Intuitive Machines | (0.29) | 11 per month | 5.26 | 0.11 | 11.71 | (8.43) | 46.43 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 0.10 | 13 per month | 1.16 | 0.18 | 4.24 | (2.26) | 7.44 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | 0.78 | 9 per month | 1.40 | (0.0003) | 2.47 | (2.08) | 8.89 | |
| PSIX | Power Solutions International | (1.51) | 8 per month | 4.87 | (0.01) | 7.68 | (6.33) | 27.55 |
CompoSecure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CompoSecure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CompoSecure using various technical indicators. When you analyze CompoSecure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CompoSecure Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CompoSecure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CompoSecure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CompoSecure based on analysis of CompoSecure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CompoSecure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CompoSecure's related companies.
Pair Trading with CompoSecure
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CompoSecure position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CompoSecure will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against CompoSecure Stock
| 0.69 | TRV | The Travelers Companies | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | CSCO | Cisco Systems Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | VZ | Verizon Communications Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | PPERY | Bank Mandiri Persero | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | JPM | JPMorgan Chase | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | PBCRY | Bank Central Asia | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CompoSecure could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CompoSecure when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CompoSecure - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CompoSecure to buy it.
The correlation of CompoSecure is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CompoSecure moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CompoSecure moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CompoSecure can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out CompoSecure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in CompoSecure Stock
If you are still planning to invest in CompoSecure check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CompoSecure's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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