Composecure Stock Price Prediction
| CMPO Stock | USD 15.70 0.34 2.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.105 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0264 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0663 | Wall Street Target Price 16.7857 |
Using CompoSecure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CompoSecure from the perspective of CompoSecure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CompoSecure to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CompoSecure because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CompoSecure after-hype prediction price | USD 15.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CompoSecure |
CompoSecure After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CompoSecure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CompoSecure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CompoSecure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CompoSecure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CompoSecure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CompoSecure's historical news coverage. CompoSecure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.01 and 18.27, respectively. We have considered CompoSecure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CompoSecure is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CompoSecure is based on 3 months time horizon.
CompoSecure Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CompoSecure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CompoSecure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CompoSecure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.63 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.70 | 15.64 | 0.38 |
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CompoSecure Hype Timeline
CompoSecure is currently traded for 15.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. CompoSecure is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on CompoSecure is about 722.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.52. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.41. CompoSecure last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CompoSecure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CompoSecure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CompoSecure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CompoSecure's future price movements. Getting to know how CompoSecure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CompoSecure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWPX | Northwest Pipe | (1.21) | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.12 | 4.98 | (1.99) | 12.92 | |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.60 | (4.52) | 11.16 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | 2.11 | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.13 | 5.44 | (2.91) | 13.31 | |
| ESAB | ESAB Corp | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.11 | 3.42 | (2.26) | 15.01 | |
| GIFI | Gulf Island Fabrication | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.08 | 7.10 | (3.56) | 21.05 | |
| HAYN | Haynes International | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.24 | (0.30) | 0.64 | (0.43) | 1.98 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | (1.42) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.1 | 2.93 | (2.39) | 16.69 | |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Co | (0.84) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.55 | (2.95) | 25.65 | |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.11 | (3.73) | 13.98 | |
| WOR | Worthington Industries | (0.69) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.65 | (4.76) | 13.44 |
CompoSecure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CompoSecure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CompoSecure using various technical indicators. When you analyze CompoSecure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CompoSecure Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CompoSecure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CompoSecure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CompoSecure based on analysis of CompoSecure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CompoSecure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CompoSecure's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.96 | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.68 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.46 | 0.2 | 0.26 | 0.25 |
Story Coverage note for CompoSecure
The number of cover stories for CompoSecure depends on current market conditions and CompoSecure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CompoSecure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CompoSecure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CompoSecure Short Properties
CompoSecure's future price predictability will typically decrease when CompoSecure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CompoSecure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CompoSecure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CompoSecure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.2 M |
Check out CompoSecure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in CompoSecure Stock, please use our How to Invest in CompoSecure guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CompoSecure. If investors know CompoSecure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CompoSecure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.105 | Earnings Share (0.41) | Revenue Per Share 16.184 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.106 | Return On Assets 0.2705 |
The market value of CompoSecure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CompoSecure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CompoSecure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CompoSecure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CompoSecure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CompoSecure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CompoSecure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CompoSecure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CompoSecure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.