Card Factory Plc Stock Price Prediction
| CRFCF Stock | USD 1.18 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
13
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Card Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Card Factory plc from the perspective of Card Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Card Factory to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Card because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Card Factory after-hype prediction price | USD 1.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Card |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Card Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Card Factory After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Card Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Card Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Card Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Card Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Card Factory's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Card Factory's historical news coverage. Card Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.86, respectively. We have considered Card Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Card Factory is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Card Factory plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Card Factory Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Card Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Card Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Card Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 4.68 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.18 | 1.18 | 0.00 |
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Card Factory Hype Timeline
Card Factory plc is currently traded for 1.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Card is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Card Factory is about 1157.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Card Factory plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Card Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Card Factory Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Card Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Card Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how Card Factory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Card Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 3.85 | 11 per month | 2.03 | (0.05) | 2.37 | (2.77) | 9.11 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.17 | 0.15 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | (0.62) | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.06 | 4.83 | (2.37) | 7.75 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | (2.92) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.16 | (5.85) | 16.24 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.39 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.25 | (3.13) | 9.57 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.59 | (4.39) | 9.65 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 0.22 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.76 | (4.98) | 19.79 | |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica | 1.96 | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.08 | 3.24 | (3.10) | 11.09 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.83 | (4.66) | 13.15 |
Card Factory Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Card price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Card using various technical indicators. When you analyze Card charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Card Factory Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Card Factory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Card Factory plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Card Factory based on analysis of Card Factory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Card Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Card Factory's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Card Factory
The number of cover stories for Card Factory depends on current market conditions and Card Factory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Card Factory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Card Factory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Card Factory Short Properties
Card Factory's future price predictability will typically decrease when Card Factory's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Card Factory plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Card Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Card Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 341.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Card Pink Sheet analysis
When running Card Factory's price analysis, check to measure Card Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Card Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Card Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Card Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Card Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Card Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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