Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock Price Patterns
| CSL Stock | USD 340.89 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.2414 | EPS Estimate Current Year 19.0854 | EPS Estimate Next Year 20.679 | Wall Street Target Price 371.25 |
Using Carlisle Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated from the perspective of Carlisle Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Carlisle Companies using Carlisle Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Carlisle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Carlisle Companies' stock price.
Carlisle Companies Short Interest
An investor who is long Carlisle Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Carlisle Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Carlisle Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 358.7264 | Short Percent 0.0817 | Short Ratio 6.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 332.3004 |
Carlisle Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Carlisle Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Carlisle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Carlisle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Carlisle Companies Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Carlisle Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Carlisle Companies.
Carlisle Companies Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Carlisle Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Carlisle Companies Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Carlisle Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Carlisle Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Carlisle Companies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carlisle Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carlisle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carlisle Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 340.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Carlisle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Carlisle Companies Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Carlisle Companies trading at USD 340.89, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Carlisle Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Carlisle Companies Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Carlisle Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlisle Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carlisle Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carlisle Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carlisle Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carlisle Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carlisle Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carlisle Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carlisle Companies' historical news coverage. Carlisle Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 339.19 and 342.77, respectively. We have considered Carlisle Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carlisle Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carlisle Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carlisle Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carlisle Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carlisle Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carlisle Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.79 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
340.89 | 340.98 | 0.03 |
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Carlisle Companies Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Carlisle Companies is traded for 340.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Carlisle is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 340.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 172.12%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Carlisle Companies is about 1111.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 340.90. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.31 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.82 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Carlisle Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carlisle Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carlisle Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carlisle Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Carlisle Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carlisle Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXRFF | Prospera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.70 | (9.67) | 38.06 | |
| FHTX | Foghorn Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.28 | 0.11 | 9.16 | (5.56) | 31.12 | |
| PYXS | Pyxis Oncology | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 17.05 | (15.41) | 70.66 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.42 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| USSTX | Tax Exempt Short Term | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| JDDSF | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 22.36 | |
| NEMTF | Nemetschek SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.70 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 6.40 | (5.54) | 14.55 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 15.07 |
Carlisle Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carlisle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlisle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlisle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carlisle Companies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carlisle Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carlisle Companies Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlisle Companies based on analysis of Carlisle Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carlisle Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carlisle Companies's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.011 | 0.0101 | 0.0116 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.24 | 3.43 | 3.08 |
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Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlisle Companies. Projected growth potential of Carlisle fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Carlisle Companies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 4.1 | Earnings Share 17.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
Investors evaluate Carlisle Companies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Carlisle Companies' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Carlisle Companies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlisle Companies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlisle Companies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Carlisle Companies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.