Citizens Bancorp Stock Price Patterns

CZBC Stock  USD 10.24  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Citizens Bancorp's pink sheet price is about 65 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Citizens, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Citizens Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citizens Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Citizens Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizens Bancorp from the perspective of Citizens Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citizens Bancorp to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citizens because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Citizens Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Citizens Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8811.1212.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0610.3011.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.6910.0510.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Citizens Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Citizens Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Citizens Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Citizens Bancorp.

Citizens Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Citizens Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citizens Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Citizens Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Citizens Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Citizens Bancorp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citizens Bancorp's historical news coverage. Citizens Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.00 and 11.48, respectively. We have considered Citizens Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.24
10.24
After-hype Price
11.48
Upside
Citizens Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citizens Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Citizens Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citizens Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizens Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citizens Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.22
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.24
10.24
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Citizens Bancorp Hype Timeline

Citizens Bancorp is currently traded for 10.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Citizens is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citizens Bancorp is about 6421.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.24. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. Citizens Bancorp had 11:10 split on the 7th of July 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Citizens Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citizens Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Citizens Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citizens Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Citizens Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citizens Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBWACommencement Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.29  2.20 (0.41) 5.11 
BBBKBaker Boyer Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.47 (0.03) 1.18 (1.18) 5.80 
ORBNOregon Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.23  2.33 (1.25) 9.11 
RWCBRedwood Capital Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.53  0.09  0.65 (0.32) 6.44 
FRSBFirst Resource Bank 0.19 2 per month 0.00  0.17  2.51 (0.54) 5.49 
CCBCChino Commercial Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  2.15  0.00  6.87 
HBSIHighlands Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 1.09  0.08  3.49 (1.63) 14.85 
MNMBMerchants Marine Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.61 (1.91) 9.68 
MVLYMission Valley Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  2.87 (0.33) 17.19 
UNBKUnited National Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29) 0.00 (0.02) 3.34 

Citizens Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citizens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Citizens Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Citizens Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citizens Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citizens Bancorp based on analysis of Citizens Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citizens Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citizens Bancorp's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Citizens Pink Sheet analysis

When running Citizens Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Citizens Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citizens Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Citizens Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citizens Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citizens Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citizens Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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