Duke Energy Stock Price Prediction
| DUK Stock | USD 115.00 0.30 0.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9508 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3401 | Wall Street Target Price 123.5365 |
Using Duke Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duke Energy from the perspective of Duke Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Duke Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Duke Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Duke. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Duke can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Duke Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Duke Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Duke Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Duke Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Duke because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Duke Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 114.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Duke |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duke Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duke Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duke Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duke Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duke Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duke Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duke Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duke Energy's historical news coverage. Duke Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.84 and 116.06, respectively. We have considered Duke Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duke Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duke Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duke Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duke Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duke Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duke Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.12 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
115.00 | 114.95 | 0.04 |
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Duke Energy Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Duke Energy is traded for 115.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Duke is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 114.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 127.27%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Duke Energy is about 896.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 115.01. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Duke Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.7. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.57. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Duke Energy had 1:3 split on the 3rd of July 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Duke Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Duke Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duke Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duke Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Duke Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duke Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| D | Dominion Energy | 1.14 | 7 per month | 1.13 | (0.05) | 1.85 | (1.96) | 7.70 | |
| ED | Consolidated Edison | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.42 | (1.66) | 4.57 | |
| ES | Eversource Energy | 0.30 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.74 | (2.10) | 5.63 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.13 | (1.48) | 3.72 | |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.35 | (6.30) | 17.19 | |
| SO | Southern Company | (0.57) | 9 per month | 0.94 | (0.09) | 1.73 | (1.57) | 5.63 | |
| CMS-PB | Consumers Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | (0.07) | 2.38 | (2.00) | 7.46 | |
| CMS-PC | CMS Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | (0.14) | 1.27 | (1.41) | 3.22 |
Duke Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Duke Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Duke Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Duke Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duke Energy based on analysis of Duke Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Duke Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Duke Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0386 | 0.0434 | 0.0624 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.28 | 2.57 | 2.7 |
Story Coverage note for Duke Energy
The number of cover stories for Duke Energy depends on current market conditions and Duke Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duke Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duke Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Duke Energy Short Properties
Duke Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duke Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duke Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 771 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 253 M |
Check out Duke Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Duke Stock please use our How to buy in Duke Stock guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duke Energy. If investors know Duke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duke Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.01 | Dividend Share 4.12 | Earnings Share 5.57 | Revenue Per Share 38.55 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
The market value of Duke Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duke Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duke Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duke Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duke Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duke Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duke Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duke Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.