Expeditors International Of Stock Price Patterns

EXPD Stock  USD 163.55  3.01  1.87%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Expeditors International's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Expeditors, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Expeditors International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Expeditors International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Expeditors International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Expeditors International of, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Expeditors International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.006
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.298
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.9064
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.0467
Wall Street Target Price
140.4667
Using Expeditors International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Expeditors International of from the perspective of Expeditors International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Expeditors International using Expeditors International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Expeditors using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Expeditors International's stock price.

Expeditors International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Expeditors International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Expeditors. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Expeditors International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
126.6899
Short Percent
0.0516
Short Ratio
4.41
Shares Short Prior Month
6.7 M
50 Day MA
152.879

Expeditors International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Expeditors International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Expeditors. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Expeditors can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Expeditors International of. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Expeditors International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Expeditors International.

Expeditors International Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
Expeditors International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Expeditors International of stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Expeditors International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Expeditors International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Expeditors International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Expeditors International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Expeditors because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Expeditors International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 161.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Expeditors contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Expeditors International of will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Expeditors International trading at USD 163.55, that is roughly USD 0.0388 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Expeditors International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Expeditors International of options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Expeditors International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.34161.61162.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
154.93156.21157.48
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
127.82140.47155.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.381.59
Details

Expeditors International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Expeditors International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Expeditors International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Expeditors International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Expeditors International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Expeditors International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Expeditors International's historical news coverage. Expeditors International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 160.11 and 162.65, respectively. We have considered Expeditors International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
163.55
160.11
Downside
161.38
After-hype Price
162.65
Upside
Expeditors International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Expeditors International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Expeditors International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Expeditors International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Expeditors International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Expeditors International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.29
  0.92 
  0.07 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
163.55
161.38
0.52 
44.64  
Notes

Expeditors International Hype Timeline

Expeditors International is currently traded for 163.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.92, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Expeditors is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 161.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 44.64%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Expeditors International is about 634.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 163.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.6 B. Net Income was 810.07 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.53 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Expeditors International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Expeditors International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Expeditors International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Expeditors International's future price movements. Getting to know how Expeditors International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Expeditors International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GXRFFProspera Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.70 (9.67) 38.06 
FHTXFoghorn Therapeutics(0.04)9 per month 4.28  0.11  9.16 (5.56) 31.12 
PYXSPyxis Oncology(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 17.05 (15.41) 70.66 
MRKMerck Company 0.42 7 per month 1.13  0.19  3.59 (1.98) 8.09 
USSTXTax Exempt Short Term 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.39) 0.19 (0.10) 0.39 
JDDSFJD Sports Fashion 0.05 3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.00 (0.87) 22.36 
NEMTFNemetschek SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  33.70 
AAAlcoa Corp 1.42 8 per month 2.69  0.16  6.40 (5.54) 14.55 
JDSPYJD Sports Fashion 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.19 (6.25) 15.07 

Expeditors International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Expeditors price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Expeditors using various technical indicators. When you analyze Expeditors charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Expeditors International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Expeditors International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Expeditors International of, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Expeditors International based on analysis of Expeditors International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Expeditors International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Expeditors International's related companies.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01060.01310.006739
Price To Sales Ratio2.041.471.0

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When running Expeditors International's price analysis, check to measure Expeditors International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expeditors International is operating at the current time. Most of Expeditors International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expeditors International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expeditors International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expeditors International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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