First Community Stock Price Prediction
| FCCO Stock | USD 25.52 0.47 1.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.174 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7433 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0467 | Wall Street Target Price 26.6667 |
Using First Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Community from the perspective of First Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Community to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Community after-hype prediction price | USD 26.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Community After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Community's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Community's historical news coverage. First Community's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.14 and 27.90, respectively. We have considered First Community's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Community is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Community is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Community Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.88 | 0.50 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.52 | 26.02 | 1.96 |
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First Community Hype Timeline
First Community is currently traded for 25.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 109.3%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.96%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on First Community is about 2968.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.50. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.42 M. Net Income was 11.84 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 59.66 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out First Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Community Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Community's future price movements. Getting to know how First Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.64 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.11) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 3.82 | (4.31) | 21.70 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 6.22 | (3.53) | 14.42 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 |
First Community Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Community Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Community stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Community, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Community based on analysis of First Community hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Community's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Community's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.023 | 0.0237 | 0.026 | 0.021 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.65 | 2.77 | 2.81 | 2.67 |
Story Coverage note for First Community
The number of cover stories for First Community depends on current market conditions and First Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Community Short Properties
First Community's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Community's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Community often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -66.8 M |
Check out First Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Community guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Community. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.174 | Dividend Share 0.58 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share 8.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.26 |
The market value of First Community is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.