First Hawaiian Stock Price Patterns

FHB Stock  USD 26.55  1.02  3.70%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of First Hawaiian's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Hawaiian, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Hawaiian's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Hawaiian, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Hawaiian's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5103
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.32
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.3891
Wall Street Target Price
27.6111
Using First Hawaiian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Hawaiian from the perspective of First Hawaiian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Hawaiian using First Hawaiian's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Hawaiian's stock price.

First Hawaiian Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in First Hawaiian's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Hawaiian stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
24.8456
Short Percent
0.1074
Short Ratio
6.97
Shares Short Prior Month
8.4 M
50 Day MA
25.9491

First Hawaiian Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Hawaiian's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Hawaiian. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Hawaiian's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Hawaiian.

First Hawaiian Implied Volatility

    
  0.77  
First Hawaiian's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Hawaiian stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Hawaiian's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Hawaiian stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Hawaiian's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Hawaiian to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Hawaiian after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out First Hawaiian Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2327.7929.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.0426.6028.16
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.1327.6130.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.550.550.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Hawaiian. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Hawaiian's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Hawaiian's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Hawaiian.

First Hawaiian After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Hawaiian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Hawaiian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Hawaiian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Hawaiian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Hawaiian's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Hawaiian's historical news coverage. First Hawaiian's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.13 and 28.25, respectively. We have considered First Hawaiian's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.55
26.69
After-hype Price
28.25
Upside
First Hawaiian is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Hawaiian is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Hawaiian Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Hawaiian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Hawaiian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Hawaiian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.56
  0.14 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.55
26.69
0.53 
165.96  
Notes

First Hawaiian Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January First Hawaiian is traded for 26.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 165.96%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on First Hawaiian is about 830.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.13 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 230.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 824.31 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out First Hawaiian Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

First Hawaiian Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Hawaiian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Hawaiian's future price movements. Getting to know how First Hawaiian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Hawaiian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BKUBankUnited 0.24 8 per month 1.09  0.17  3.30 (1.47) 13.69 
CATYCathay General Bancorp 0.08 17 per month 1.21  0.05  3.14 (1.80) 8.56 
WSFSWSFS Financial 0.08 14 per month 1.04  0.15  2.96 (1.40) 8.78 
FBPFirst Bancorp 0.51 8 per month 1.37  0.06  2.84 (2.30) 9.39 
CBUCommunity Bank System(0.28)10 per month 1.17  0.05  2.35 (1.86) 8.66 
FULTFulton Financial 0.08 11 per month 1.25  0.10  3.01 (1.95) 8.73 
TBBKThe Bancorp 0.49 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.18 (3.73) 19.50 
WSBCWesBanco 0.80 9 per month 1.44  0.09  2.95 (2.44) 9.48 
BOHBank of Hawaii(0.31)7 per month 1.17  0.13  2.56 (1.71) 8.71 

First Hawaiian Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Hawaiian Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Hawaiian stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Hawaiian, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Hawaiian based on analysis of First Hawaiian hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Hawaiian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Hawaiian's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04550.04010.04610.0496
Price To Sales Ratio2.672.933.373.2

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Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Hawaiian's price analysis, check to measure First Hawaiian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Hawaiian is operating at the current time. Most of First Hawaiian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Hawaiian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Hawaiian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Hawaiian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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