Fair Isaac Stock Price Patterns
| FICO Stock | USD 1,493 9.04 0.60% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.179 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 10.5781 | EPS Estimate Current Year 41.1581 | EPS Estimate Next Year 52.5434 | Wall Street Target Price 2 K |
Using Fair Isaac hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fair Isaac from the perspective of Fair Isaac response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fair Isaac using Fair Isaac's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fair using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fair Isaac's stock price.
Fair Isaac Short Interest
An investor who is long Fair Isaac may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fair Isaac and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fair Isaac with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.7 K | Short Percent 0.0641 | Short Ratio 5.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 1.7 K |
Fair Isaac Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fair Isaac's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fair Isaac. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fair Isaac's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fair Isaac.
Fair Isaac Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Fair Isaac's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fair Isaac stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fair Isaac's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fair Isaac stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fair Isaac's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fair Isaac to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fair because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fair Isaac after-hype prediction price | USD 1489.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fair contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fair Isaac will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fair Isaac trading at USD 1492.71, that is roughly USD 0.49 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fair Isaac's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fair Isaac options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fair Isaac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fair Isaac After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fair Isaac at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fair Isaac or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fair Isaac, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fair Isaac Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fair Isaac's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fair Isaac's historical news coverage. Fair Isaac's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,487 and 1,642, respectively. We have considered Fair Isaac's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fair Isaac is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fair Isaac is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fair Isaac Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fair Isaac is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fair Isaac backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fair Isaac, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.97 | 3.47 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,493 | 1,489 | 0.23 |
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Fair Isaac Hype Timeline
Fair Isaac is currently traded for 1,493. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Fair is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1489.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 8.52%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Fair Isaac is about 446.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,493. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. Fair Isaac recorded earning per share (EPS) of 27.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of March 2017. The firm had 3:2 split on the 11th of March 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fair Isaac Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fair Isaac's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fair Isaac's future price movements. Getting to know how Fair Isaac's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fair Isaac may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLS | Celestica | (1.06) | 9 per month | 5.57 | 0.02 | 7.89 | (9.66) | 27.95 | |
| GRMN | Garmin | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.07 | (2.42) | 11.87 | |
| NOK | Nokia Corp ADR | 0.05 | 7 per month | 2.93 | 0 | 3.93 | (4.76) | 31.94 | |
| TEAM | Atlassian Corp Plc | 3.80 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.93 | (6.29) | 13.15 | |
| TTD | Trade Desk | 1.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 3.39 | (4.79) | 13.95 | |
| ZM | Zoom Video Communications | (1.55) | 11 per month | 1.77 | 0.04 | 3.85 | (3.33) | 13.95 | |
| XYZ | Block Inc | 1.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.79 | (5.03) | 14.15 | |
| PTC | PTC Inc | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.93 | (3.01) | 9.03 | |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | (1.62) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (2.07) | 8.70 | |
| UI | Ubiquiti Networks | (6.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.95 | (4.03) | 21.80 |
Fair Isaac Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fair Isaac Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fair Isaac stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fair Isaac, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fair Isaac based on analysis of Fair Isaac hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fair Isaac's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fair Isaac's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 3.28E-4 | 3.12E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 16.4 | 17.22 |
Pair Trading with Fair Isaac
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fair Isaac position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fair Isaac will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Fair Stock
| 0.77 | VENZ | Venzee Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | ATG | Auction Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | 300830 | Jinxiandai Information | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | 688246 | Goodwill E Health | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | IAM | Income Asset Management | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | WNDR | WonderFi Technologies | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fair Isaac could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fair Isaac when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fair Isaac - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fair Isaac to buy it.
The correlation of Fair Isaac is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fair Isaac moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fair Isaac moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fair Isaac can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Fair diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. Market participants price Fair higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fair Isaac data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.179 | Earnings Share 27.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Fair Isaac requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fair's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Fair Isaac's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fair Isaac's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fair Isaac's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.