Shift4 Payments Stock Price Prediction
| FOUR Stock | USD 109.28 7.38 7.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.346 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6702 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6521 | Wall Street Target Price 111.1739 |
Using Shift4 Payments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shift4 Payments from the perspective of Shift4 Payments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Shift4 Payments Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Shift4 Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shift4. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shift4 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shift4 Payments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Shift4 Payments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Shift4 Payments.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shift4 Payments to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shift4 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shift4 Payments after-hype prediction price | USD 110.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shift4 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shift4 Payments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shift4 Payments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shift4 Payments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shift4 Payments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shift4 Payments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shift4 Payments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shift4 Payments' historical news coverage. Shift4 Payments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 107.88 and 112.54, respectively. We have considered Shift4 Payments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shift4 Payments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shift4 Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shift4 Payments Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shift4 Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shift4 Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shift4 Payments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.35 | 0.95 | 0.33 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
109.28 | 110.21 | 0.85 |
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Shift4 Payments Hype Timeline
Shift4 Payments is currently traded for 109.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.95, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.33. Shift4 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 110.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 123.68%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.85%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Shift4 Payments is about 351.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.56 B. Net Income was 86.2 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 470.2 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Shift4 Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shift4 Payments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shift4 Payments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shift4 Payments' future price movements. Getting to know how Shift4 Payments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shift4 Payments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| S | SentinelOne | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.99 | 0.05 | 5.09 | (3.63) | 12.03 | |
| CFLT | Confluent | (0.90) | 11 per month | 2.34 | 0.12 | 4.83 | (3.85) | 18.55 | |
| NEWR | New Relic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (3.35) | 18.35 | |
| HCP | Hashicorp | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.51 | (0.33) | 1.15 | |
| MDB | MongoDB | (9.60) | 9 per month | 2.23 | 0.04 | 4.89 | (4.05) | 23.05 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | (0.17) | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.04 | 3.05 | (2.45) | 13.03 | |
| IIIV | i3 Verticals | 0.21 | 6 per month | 1.83 | 0.06 | 3.23 | (3.00) | 10.92 | |
| CCCS | CCC Intelligent Solutions | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.96 | 0.07 | 1.97 | (1.89) | 5.99 | |
| ESMT | EngageSmart LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.01 | 3.90 | (2.93) | 9.34 | |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce | 1.75 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.51 | (2.74) | 13.74 | |
| PAGS | PagSeguro Digital | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 2.45 | (5.23) | 14.53 | |
| MQ | Marqeta | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.36 | (3.72) | 51.58 | |
| STNE | StoneCo | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 3.19 | (5.82) | 15.16 |
Shift4 Payments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shift4 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shift4 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shift4 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shift4 Payments Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shift4 Payments stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shift4 Payments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shift4 Payments based on analysis of Shift4 Payments hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shift4 Payments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shift4 Payments's related companies. | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.65E-4 | 2.39E-4 | 2.27E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.43 | 1.73 | 2.66 |
Story Coverage note for Shift4 Payments
The number of cover stories for Shift4 Payments depends on current market conditions and Shift4 Payments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shift4 Payments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shift4 Payments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shift4 Payments Short Properties
Shift4 Payments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Shift4 Payments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shift4 Payments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shift4 Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shift4 Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 455 M |
Additional Tools for Shift4 Stock Analysis
When running Shift4 Payments' price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.